Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Hawks NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NBA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NBA sport icon
NBA
Celtics
132
106
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Celtics
30 52 35 15 132
Hawks
23 28 26 29 106
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celtics
    >99%
  • Hawks
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Celtics
30 52 35 15 132
Hawks
23 28 26 29 106
Q4 1:22 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Asa Newell makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:55 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:28 Xavier Tillman misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:14 RayJ Dennis misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:25 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:59 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:16 CJ McCollum misses two point driving layup
Q4 5:31 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:23
    Celtics turnover
  2. Q4 1:08
    Baylor Scheierman turnover
  3. Q4 1:22
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    132-106
  4. Q4 1:22
    Celtics personal foul
  5. Q4 1:22
    +1
    Keaton Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    132-106
  6. Q4 1:54
    +2
    Asa Newell makes two point jump shot
    132-106
  7. Q4 1:55
    Baylor Scheierman turnover (lost ball) (RayJ Dennis steals)
  8. Q4 2:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 2:14
    Amari Williams offensive rebound
  10. Q4 2:14
    +1
    Amari Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    132-106
  11. Q4 2:43
    Hawks personal foul
  12. Q4 2:43
    +1
    Amari Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    132-106
  13. Q4 2:51
    Ron Harper Jr. defensive rebound
  14. Q4 2:55
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 3:04
    Hugo Gonzalez turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  16. Q4 3:22
    Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
  17. Q4 3:28
    Xavier Tillman misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 3:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  19. Q4 4:14
    RayJ Dennis misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 4:25
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    132-106
  21. Q4 4:55
    Hawks lineup change (Caleb Houstan, Mouhamed Gueye, RayJ Dennis, Asa Newell, Keaton Wallace)
  22. Q4 4:55
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 4:57
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  24. Q4 4:59
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 5:08
    Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
  26. Q4 5:13
    Asa Newell offensive rebound
  27. Q4 5:16
    CJ McCollum misses two point driving layup
  28. Q4 5:23
    Ron Harper Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Mouhamed Gueye steals)
  29. Q4 5:24
    Ron Harper Jr. offensive rebound
  30. Q4 5:31
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 5:46
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
    126-87
  32. Q4 5:46
    Celtics lineup change (Ron Harper Jr., Baylor Scheierman, Amari Williams, Hugo Gonzalez, Sam Hauser)
  33. Q4 5:46
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Asa Newell, Keaton Wallace, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert)
  34. Q4 5:55
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  35. Q4 5:58
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 6:10
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 6:28
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    132-106
  38. Q4 6:33
    Sam Hauser turnover
  39. Q4 6:49
    Amari Williams defensive rebound
  40. Q4 6:52
    Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
  41. Q4 7:02
    Anfernee Simons offensive rebound
  42. Q4 7:11
    CJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Baylor Scheierman steals)
  43. Q4 7:40
    Hawks turnover
  44. Q4 7:53
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  45. Q4 7:53
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
  46. Q4 7:55
    +3
    Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)
    126-83
  47. Q4 8:18
    +3
    Sam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)
    132-106
  48. Q4 8:28
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 8:48
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 8:56
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 9:04
    Baylor Scheierman misses three point pullup jump shot
  52. Q4 9:27
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  53. Q4 9:27
    Amari Williams defensive goaltending violation
  54. Q4 9:30
    Corey Kispert defensive rebound
  55. Q4 9:57
    Amari Williams personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  56. Q4 9:57
    Hawks offensive rebound
  57. Q4 10:04
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 10:26
    Amari Williams defensive rebound
  59. Q4 10:30
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  60. Q4 10:49
    Corey Kispert offensive rebound
  61. Q4 10:53
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 11:01
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  63. Q4 11:15
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive foul (Off the ball) (Sam Hauser draws the foul)
  64. Q4 11:25
    Amari Williams turnover (offensive foul)
  65. Q4 11:44
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  66. Q4 11:48
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  67. Q4 12:00
    Celtics lineup change (Baylor Scheierman, Amari Williams, Hugo Gonzalez, Sam Hauser, Anfernee Simons)
  68. Q3 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  69. Q3 00:06
    +3
    Anfernee Simons makes three point jump shot
    117-77
  70. Q3 00:26
    Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
  71. Q3 00:47
    Neemias Queta turnover (Luke Kennard steals)
  72. Q3 1:23
    Corey Kispert defensive rebound
  73. Q3 1:35
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  74. Q3 2:07
    Mouhamed Gueye misses three point running jump shot
  75. Q3 2:42
    +3
    Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)
    117-77
  76. Q3 2:57
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Corey Kispert)
  77. Q3 2:57
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    117-77
  78. Q3 3:08
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  79. Q3 3:23
    Neemias Queta misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  80. Q3 3:23
    Jalen Johnson personal foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)
  81. Q3 3:23
    Celtics offensive rebound
  82. Q3 3:23
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-77
  83. Q3 3:34
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  84. Q3 3:43
    Hugo Gonzalez turnover
  85. Q3 3:43
    Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Jordan Walsh, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown, Anfernee Simons)
  86. Q3 3:56
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point running layup
    114-74
  87. Q3 4:01
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  88. Q3 4:03
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 4:08
    Luka Garza offensive rebound
  90. Q3 4:24
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  91. Q3 4:26
    Jalen Johnson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  92. Q3 4:38
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
  93. Q3 4:39
    Keaton Wallace shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
  94. Q3 4:39
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
  95. Q3 4:39
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-66
  96. Q3 4:39
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
  97. Q3 4:47
    Hawks offensive rebound
  98. Q3 4:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  99. Q3 5:10
    Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
  100. Q3 5:33
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    108-66
  101. Q3 6:24
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  102. Q3 6:42
    Jaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  103. Q3 6:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  104. Q3 7:02
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    108-66
  105. Q3 7:12
    Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
  106. Q3 7:25
    Hawks turnover
  107. Q3 7:29
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  108. Q3 7:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  109. Q3 7:49
    Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
  110. Q3 7:50
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  111. Q3 8:26
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point running jump shot
  112. Q3 8:31
    Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
  113. Q3 9:16
    +3
    Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot
    86-53
  114. Q3 9:20
    Hawks offensive rebound
  115. Q3 9:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  116. Q3 9:28
    Celtics turnover
  117. Q3 9:41
    Sam Hauser defensive rebound
  118. Q3 9:43
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  119. Q3 9:53
    +3
    Baylor Scheierman makes three point stepback jump shot (Derrick White assists)
    86-53
  120. Q3 10:15
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)
    86-53
  121. Q3 10:29
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-53
  122. Q3 10:35
    Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
  123. Q3 10:44
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 10:55
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    86-53
  125. Q3 11:21
    Hawks personal foul
  126. Q3 11:21
    +1
    Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    86-53
  127. Q3 11:30
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    86-53
  128. Q3 11:46
    Hawks turnover
  129. Q2 00:00
    Celtics offensive rebound
  130. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  131. Q3 12:00
    Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Baylor Scheierman, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
  132. Q2 00:01
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    82-51
  133. Q2 00:19
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    82-48
  134. Q2 00:47
    Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
  135. Q2 1:13
    Hawks turnover
  136. Q2 1:39
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    77-48
  137. Q2 1:53
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    77-46
  138. Q2 2:02
    Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
  139. Q2 2:18
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    75-46
  140. Q2 2:34
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  141. Q2 2:46
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    71-46
  142. Q2 2:46
    Hawks personal foul
  143. Q2 2:53
    Neemias Queta defensive rebound
  144. Q2 2:58
    CJ McCollum offensive rebound
  145. Q2 3:12
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    69-46
  146. Q2 3:24
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    67-46
  147. Q2 3:44
    Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
  148. Q2 4:05
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    65-43
  149. Q2 4:22
    Celtics defensive rebound
  150. Q2 4:22
    Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Hugo Gonzalez, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
  151. Q2 4:22
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
  152. Q2 4:47
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  153. Q2 4:54
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  154. Q2 5:10
    Hawks turnover
  155. Q2 5:18
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    59-43
  156. Q2 5:35
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    57-43
  157. Q2 5:43
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  158. Q2 6:18
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    57-37
  159. Q2 6:27
    Derrick White defensive rebound
  160. Q2 6:45
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  161. Q2 6:45
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    54-37
  162. Q2 7:05
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    51-37
  163. Q2 7:20
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  164. Q2 7:40
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    51-34
  165. Q2 8:25
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    46-34
  166. Q2 8:29
    Anfernee Simons defensive rebound
  167. Q2 8:31
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  168. Q2 8:45
    Hawks turnover
  169. Q2 8:47
    Celtics turnover
  170. Q2 9:06
    Celtics personal foul
  171. Q2 9:06
    +1
    Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    41-32
  172. Q2 9:06
    +1
    Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    41-33
  173. Q2 9:20
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  174. Q2 9:32
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  175. Q2 9:41
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    39-31
  176. Q2 10:04
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-31
  177. Q2 10:21
    Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
  178. Q2 10:25
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  179. Q2 10:28
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  180. Q2 10:44
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    33-29
  181. Q2 10:48
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  182. Q2 11:09
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    33-27
  183. Q2 11:40
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    30-25
  184. Q2 11:46
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  185. Q2 12:00
    Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Baylor Scheierman, Sam Hauser, Anfernee Simons, Derrick White)
  186. Q1 00:01
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  187. Q1 00:22
    Corey Kispert offensive rebound
  188. Q1 00:36
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    30-21
  189. Q1 1:01
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  190. Q1 1:03
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    28-18
  191. Q1 1:03
    Hawks personal foul
  192. Q1 1:18
    Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  193. Q1 1:27
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  194. Q1 1:43
    Hawks personal foul
  195. Q1 1:43
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    25-17
  196. Q1 1:43
    +1
    Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    26-17
  197. Q1 2:02
    Celtics personal foul
  198. Q1 2:02
    +1
    Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-16
  199. Q1 2:02
    +1
    Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-17
  200. Q1 2:33
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    21-15
  201. Q1 2:44
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  202. Q1 2:47
    Hawks personal foul
  203. Q1 2:47
    Luka Garza misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  204. Q1 3:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  205. Q1 3:03
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  206. Q1 3:12
    Hawks offensive rebound
  207. Q1 3:15
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  208. Q1 3:23
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  209. Q1 4:13
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  210. Q1 4:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  211. Q1 4:55
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  212. Q1 5:02
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  213. Q1 5:14
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  214. Q1 5:36
    Celtics 60 second timeout
  215. Q1 5:36
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Keaton Wallace, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson)
  216. Q1 6:12
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  217. Q1 6:17
    Sam Hauser defensive rebound
  218. Q1 6:47
    Derrick White defensive rebound
  219. Q1 7:06
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    12-6
  220. Q1 7:24
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    10-6
  221. Q1 7:29
    Celtics misses two point jump shot
  222. Q1 7:43
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  223. Q1 8:01
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  224. Q1 8:02
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    10-4
  225. Q1 8:35
    +2
    Celtics makes two point jump shot
    7-2
  226. Q1 8:51
    Celtics misses three point jump shot
  227. Q1 9:03
    Neemias Queta defensive rebound
  228. Q1 9:30
    Neemias Queta offensive rebound
  229. Q1 9:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q1 9:39
    Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
  231. Q1 9:43
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  232. Q1 9:53
    Celtics personal foul
  233. Q1 10:06
    Hawks violation
  234. Q1 10:18
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  235. Q1 10:29
    +3
    Celtics makes three point jump shot
    3-2
  236. Q1 10:36
    Celtics offensive rebound
  237. Q1 10:44
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  238. Q1 10:59
    Celtics turnover
  239. Q1 11:37
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  240. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson)
  241. Q1 12:00
    Onyeka Okongwu (Derrick White gains possession)
Box Score
Celtics
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Celtics vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Celtics vs. Hawks
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Celtics favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Celtics -162, Hawks +143

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Celtics: 63%
  • Hawks: 37%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 116-112 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 63%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Celtics vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.