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Hawks vs. Pelicans prediction: Atlanta favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [11/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Saturday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks will meet in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Trey Murphy, Jeremiah Fears and Derik Queen, while the Hawks will be led by Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis and Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Saturday's clash between the Hawks and Pelicans.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks a 77% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 120-111.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-112) | +9.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -450 | +360 |
| Total | o232.5 (-110) | u232.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +9.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +360 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +9.5 at the spread.
Hawks vs. Pelicans player props
Looking for Hawks vs. Pelicans NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 24 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 24 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 54 |
| K. Porzingis | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Z. Risacher | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 36 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 24 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 45 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Derik Queen | 16 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 39 |
| Saddiq Bey | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Jose Alvarado | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
Hawks vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Pelicans and Hawks at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Saturday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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