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Dream vs. Lynx prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Atlanta Dream vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Saturday.
WNBA action continues on Saturday at 8:00 PM ET as the Atlanta Dream take on the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Dream vs. Lynx game.
The Lynx, who have stars like Courtney Williams, Kayla McBride and Natasha Howard, are set to take on the Dream, whose lineup includes Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Dream vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Dream and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Dream a 77% chance of beating the Lynx.
According to our model, the Dream (-4.5) have a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 64% chance of going over.
Dream vs. Lynx odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dream | Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-105) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +155 |
| Total | o157.5 (-105) | u157.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dream vs. Lynx picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dream -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Dream | -180 |
| Total | Over 157.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dream vs. Lynx player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's Atlanta vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Courtney Williams is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Lynx.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Dream prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Rhyne Howard | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 33 |
| Angel Reese | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 41 |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Jordin Canada | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
Lynx prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 15 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 36 |
| Kayla McBride | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Olivia Miles | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Dream vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Lynx and Dream at Target Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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