Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sofia Kenin Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Italian Open 2025

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Written by Mac Douglass

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Aryna Sabalenka vs Sofia Kenin matchup.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Sofia Kenin Tennis Prediction.
Our Aryna Sabalenka and Sofia Kenin tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Aryna Sabalenka will square off with Sofia Kenin in the round of 32 at the WTA Rome event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Sabalenka-Kenin match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Aryna Sabalenka with a win probability of 87%, while Sofia Kenin has 13%."

For a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sabalenka vs. Kenin predictions page.

Sabalenka vs. Kenin Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Sabalenka-Kenin women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Sabalenka an 87% chance of beating Kenin at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Sabalenka has an 80% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

 

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sofia Kenin Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Sabalenka Kenin
Moneyline -909 +550
First Set -500 +350

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sabalenka vs. Kenin Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Sabalenka vs. Kenin match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sabalenka vs. Kenin Updates and Essential Details

The WTA Italian Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sofia Kenin is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 5:00AM ET.

  • Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sofia Kenin
  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 5:00AM ET/2:00AM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Sabalenka vs. Kenin match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sofia Kenin picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat Sofia Kenin at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Kenin insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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