Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens Prediction, Odds, Picks for Wimbledon 2025

Aryna Sabalenka will face Elise Mertens in the fourth round of Wimbledon Women's Singles 2025 on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the match. "Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Sabalenka-Mertens match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Aryna Sabalenka with a win probability of 81%, while Elise Mertens has 19%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sabalenka vs. Mertens predictions page.

Sabalenka vs. Mertens Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Sabalenka-Mertens women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Sabalenka an 81% chance of beating Mertens at Wimbledon 2025.

Additionally, Sabalenka has a 75% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sabalenka	Mertens
Moneyline	-500	+350
First Set	-333	+250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sabalenka vs. Mertens Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sabalenka vs. Mertens match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sabalenka vs. Mertens Updates and Essential Details

The Wimbledon 2025 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens is scheduled to start on Sunday at 11:05AM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens
• Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
• Approx. Time: 11:05AM ET/8:05AM PT
• Tournament: Wimbledon Women's Singles 2025
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Sabalenka vs. Mertens match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

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• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
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Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Elise Mertens at Wimbledon 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Mertens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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