Andrey Rublev vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for Wimbledon 2025

Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz will lock horns in the fourth round of Wimbledon 2025 on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match. "Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Rublev-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Carlos Alcaraz with a win probability of 84%, while Andrey Rublev has 16%."

For a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rublev vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Rublev vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Rublev-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Alcaraz an 84% chance of winning against Rublev at Wimbledon 2025.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 74% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Andrey Rublev vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Rublev	Alcaraz
Moneyline	+600	-1000
First Set	+300	-400

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Rublev vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rublev vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Rublev vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The Wimbledon 2025 match between Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 1:05PM ET.

• Who: Andrey Rublev vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
• Approx. Time: 1:05PM ET/10:05AM PT
• Tournament: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Rublev vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Andrey Rublev vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rublev vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.