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Alaves vs. Osasuna prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Osasuna predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Alaves will take on Osasuna in La Liga action at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Sunday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Osasuna as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Osasuna.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. Osasuna prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Alaves and Osasuna, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 36.0% chance of Alaves winning, a 36.0% chance for Osasuna, and a 28.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Alaves vs. Osasuna odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Alaves | Osasuna | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +188 | +215 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +116 | -142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. Osasuna picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Osasuna | +188 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -142 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Osasuna to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Alaves vs. Osasuna: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 OSA | 13.2% |
| ALV 1-0 OSA | 11.2% |
| ALV 0-1 OSA | 11.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 52.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Osasuna game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Alaves and Osasuna at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Osasuna
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 36.0% win probability on Sunday, Osasuna has a 36.0% win probability, and there is a 28.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Osasuna insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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