Alaves vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Osasuna at the La Liga on April 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
2
:
2
Apr 5, 7PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Apr 5, 7PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
T. Martinez (44')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
V. Rosier (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Budimir (pen.) (80')
Soccer ball icon
A. Osambela (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
OSA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye (pen.)
2-2
90'
Red Card
A. Osambela (Osasuna) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
A. Perez (Alaves) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
F. Boyomo (Osasuna) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces A. Budimir
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces P. Ibanez
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir (pen.)
2-1
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces R. Garcia
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces L. Torro
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Oroz
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces I. Diabate
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: V. Munoz replaces K. Barja
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces J. Guridi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces Yusi
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Blanco
1-1
41'
Yellow Card
J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
V. Rosier (Osasuna) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by V. Rosier
1-0

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Alaves vs. Osasuna: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Osasuna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +175, Osasuna +180, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+134/-150)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 36.2%
  • Osasuna: 35.9%
  • Draw: 27.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Osasuna, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 36.2% probability, while Osasuna sits at 35.9%, with the draw at 27.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Osasuna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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