Alaves vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Osasuna La Liga match on April 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
2
:
2
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
T. Martinez (44')
Soccer ball icon
L. Boye (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
V. Rosier (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Budimir (pen.) (80')
Soccer ball icon
A. Osambela (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye (pen.)
    2-2
  3. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Osambela (Osasuna) sent off with a straight red card
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Perez (Alaves) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Yellow Card
    F. Boyomo (Osasuna) cautioned
  6. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: J. Herrando replaces A. Budimir
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces P. Ibanez
  8. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir (pen.)
    2-1
  9. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces R. Garcia
  10. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces L. Torro
  11. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Oroz
  12. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces I. Diabate
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: V. Munoz replaces K. Barja
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces J. Guridi
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces Yusi
  16. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by A. Blanco
    1-1
  17. 41'
    Yellow Card
    J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
  18. 41'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  19. 16'
    Yellow Card
    V. Rosier (Osasuna) cautioned
  20. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Osasuna by V. Rosier
    1-0

Alaves vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +175, Osasuna +180, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+134/-150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 36.2%
  • Osasuna: 35.9%
  • Draw: 27.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Osasuna (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.2%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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