NFL 2020 Week 3: Most Likely Touchdown Scorers


September 25, 2020 2:37 AM

The NFL season is off to an incredible start and so is our predictive analytics model.

Week 2 saw our NFL model go 4/5 for the second consecutive weekend, so check out the Week 3 picks below.

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Alvin Kamara 🏈

65.9% probability (GB @ NO) 

Kamara is off to a hot start to the season, already scoring three TDs in the first two games of 2020.

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Our model is absolutely all over him to repeat his efforts from the first couple of games of the season, making him the most likely touchdown scorer across the NFL this weekend.

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Derrick Henry 🏈

64% probability (TEN @ MIN) 

Derrick Henry somehow hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, despite rushing for a combined 200 yards across the first two games of the season.

This has been an aberration for Henry and our modelling has him breaking the drought this week.

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Jonathan Taylor 🏈

60.6% probability (NYJ @ IND)

Taylor rushed for 101 yards last week, scoring one touchdown. Our model has the Colts at an 81% chance of winning this game, so there should be plenty of opportunity for the rushing back to get in for six.

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Ezekiel Elliot 🏈

59.1% probability (DAL @ SEA)

Zeke has been on fire so far, scoring a touchdown in each of the first two games of the season. 

Our model has been hot on him each week, and this clash with the Seahawks is no different, where we’re giving him a 59.1% chance of a touchdown.

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Aaron Jones 🏈

59.1% probability (GB @ NO) 

Our second TD pick from this game, along with Kamara, Aaron Jones scored two last week while rushing for an outstanding 168 yards.

We’re projecting him to score for the third week in a row, rating him a massive 59.1% chance.

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