Marlins vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Phillies MLB game on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Sandy Alcantara 13-7, 3.43 ERA
1
4
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Aaron Nola 4-9, 5.33 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 7 0
Phillies
0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 X 4 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Joe Mack flies out to left field to Brandon Marsh.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF4000000.0000.000
2 O. Lopez SS3010010.3330.833
3 X. Edwards 2B4020000.5001.000
4 G. Conine 1B4000003.0000.000
5 H. Hernández LF4010001.2500.500
6 O. Caissie DH4000001.0000.000
7 E. Ruiz RF4000002.0000.000
8 J. Mack C4000003.0000.000
9 J. Sanoja 3B31311001.0003.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4100000.0000.000
2 T. Turner SS4021001.5001.250
3 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B4222100.5001.750
5 A. Bohm 1B4000000.0000.000
6 B. Stott 3B4000000.0000.000
7 B. Marsh LF4020000.5001.000
8 J. Crawford CF3010000.3330.666
9 G. Stubbs C3021000.6671.334

Marlins vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 6:05PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, -160), Phillies (-1.5, +156)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +135, Phillies -130
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-117/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 40.5%
  • Phillies: 59.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 40.5%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 59.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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