Yankees vs. Orioles: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Orioles MLB game on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 8-6, 4.42 ERA
5
3
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 4-4, 5.11 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 10 0
Orioles
1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jackson Holliday flies out to left field to Heliot Ramos.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4010011.2500.650
2 B. Rice DH5121102.4001.400
3 L. García 1B5010001.2000.400
4 H. Ramos LF3110001.3330.833
5 J. Chisholm 2B2210020.5001.250
6 S. Jones RF4110003.2500.500
7 J. Caballero 3B0000000.0001.000
8 G. Lombard SS3022001.6671.167
9 A. Wells C4000000.0000.000
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B4100010.0000.200
2 P. Alonso DH4111102.2501.250
3 G. Henderson SS3010011.3331.167
4 S. Basallo 1B3010001.3330.833
5 C. Mayo 3B4000003.0000.000
6 D. Beavers LF3111111.3331.833
7 L. Taveras RF4020000.5001.250
8 C. Cowser CF4000001.0000.000
9 C. Encarnacion-Strand PH1000001.0000.000

Yankees vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 6:35PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (-1.5, +155), Orioles (+1.5, -156)
  • Moneyline: Yankees -102, Orioles +106
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+115/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 51.9%
  • Orioles: 48.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 51.9%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 48.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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