Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox MLB game on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 7-1, 3.11 ERA
7
6
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Payton Tolle 8-6, 2.97 ERA
Fenway Park
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 7 10 0
Red Sox
0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 6 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Caleb Durbin pops out to shallow right field to Tim Tawa.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas 2B5010001.2000.400
2 C. Carroll RF4110012.2500.650
3 G. Moreno C4112012.2500.900
4 G. Perdomo SS3000010.0000.250
5 M. Kepler DH0100000.0000.000
6 T. Tawa 1B4000011.0000.200
7 J. Barrosa CF0000000.0000.000
8 J. Fernandez 3B4121011.5001.600
9 R. Waldschmidt LF3121020.6671.800
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 2B4121111.5001.850
2 C. Rafaela CF5100002.0000.000
3 W. Abreu RF4110011.2500.650
4 W. Contreras 1B5121002.4000.800
5 C. Durbin 3B5000001.0000.000
6 J. Jones DH0000000.0001.000
7 A. Monasterio SS4000000.0000.000
8 J. Duran LF4121101.5001.750
9 A. Rutschman C1000000.0000.000

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Diamondbacks (+1.5, -141), Red Sox (-1.5, +138)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +150, Red Sox -148
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Diamondbacks: 43.1%
  • Red Sox: 56.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Diamondbacks a win probability of 43.1%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 56.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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