Marlins vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Phillies MLB game on Tuesday, August 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Cade Gibson 2-0, 5.61 ERA
4
6
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 10-4, 2.89 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 4 5 0
Phillies
1 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 X 6 10 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Esteury Ruiz grounds out to third base, Bryson Stott to Alec Bohm.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF2000020.0000.500
2 X. Edwards 2B3011012.3330.833
3 O. Lopez SS3100010.0000.250
4 G. Conine 1B4221100.5001.750
5 H. Hernández LF4011002.2500.500
6 A. Ramírez DH4000002.0000.000
7 L. Jiménez PH1000000.0000.000
8 J. Sanoja 3B4010001.2500.500
9 E. Ruiz PH1000000.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH5011002.2000.400
2 T. Turner SS4100002.0000.200
3 B. Harper RF2100020.0000.500
4 L. Arraez 2B4130001.7501.500
5 A. Bohm 1B4122000.5001.250
6 B. Stott 3B3212010.3330.833
7 B. Marsh LF4010001.2500.500
8 J. Realmuto C3000011.0000.250
9 J. Crawford CF4021001.5001.000

Marlins vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, -111), Phillies (-1.5, +108)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +200, Phillies -203
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+106/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 33.1%
  • Phillies: 66.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 33.1%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 66.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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