Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox MLB game on Tuesday, August 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 8-10, 5.11 ERA
4
9
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Starter not available 4-3, 3.25 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 1
Red Sox
3 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 X 9 13 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jose Fernandez grounds out to shallow infield. James McCann out at second.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas 2B4110001.2500.500
2 C. Carroll RF2100010.0000.500
3 G. Moreno DH3114111.3331.833
4 G. Perdomo SS3010010.3331.167
5 T. Tawa 1B4010001.2500.500
6 J. Lawlar CF4000002.0000.000
7 J. McCann C4010000.2500.500
8 J. Fernandez 3B4010001.2500.500
9 R. Waldschmidt LF3110000.3330.666
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 2B3220010.6671.417
2 C. Rafaela CF5110000.2000.400
3 W. Abreu RF4100010.0000.200
4 W. Contreras 1B4121012.5001.350
5 A. Rutschman C4123110.5001.850
6 C. Durbin 3B3111000.3330.733
7 J. Duran LF5110000.2000.400
8 A. Monasterio SS4021001.5001.000
9 M. Gasper DH21221201.0003.500

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Diamondbacks (+1.5, -133), Red Sox (-1.5, +138)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +157, Red Sox -155
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Diamondbacks: 43.0%
  • Red Sox: 57.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Diamondbacks a win probability of 43.0%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 57.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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