Tigers vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Tigers vs. Pirates MLB game on Tuesday, August 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Tigers
Keider Montero 9-7, 3.22 ERA
1
4
PNC Park
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 12-5, 3.82 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Tigers
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Pirates
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 X 4 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigers
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Hao-Yu Lee grounds out to second base, Brandon Lowe to Spencer Horwitz.
Quick Box Score
Tigers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Torres 2B4010000.2500.500
2 K. McGonigle 3B4010000.2500.500
3 D. Dingler PH1000001.0000.000
4 E. Valencia C4000002.0000.000
5 H. Lee PH1000000.0000.000
6 S. Torkelson 1B3000002.0000.000
7 B. Callahan LF3121100.6672.334
8 M. Clark CF3000000.0000.000
9 J. Báez SS3000000.0000.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Horwitz 1B3011001.3330.833
2 B. Lowe 2B4000000.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds DH4011000.2500.500
4 B. Cook LF0000000.0000.000
5 O. Cruz CF3112102.3331.666
6 J. Mangum RF3010000.3330.666
7 R. Flores C3110001.3331.000
8 J. Gonzalez SS3000000.0000.000
9 J. Triolo 3B3110000.3330.666

Tigers vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Tigers (+1.5, -152), Pirates (-1.5, +150)
  • Moneyline: Tigers +153, Pirates -144
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-120/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Tigers: 41.3%
  • Pirates: 58.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Tigers a win probability of 41.3%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 58.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Tigers in the MLB game at PNC Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Tigers vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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