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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sabres NHL game on November 28, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
5
Nov 29, 12AM KeyBank Center
Nov 29, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Sabres | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Sabres | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
OT1 02:44 Goal scored by Steven Stamkos
OT1 02:35 Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Brian Elliott
OT1 02:34 Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
OT1 01:28 Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Brian Elliott
OT1 01:21 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Brian Elliott
OT1 01:00 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Brian Elliott
OT1 00:43 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Brian Elliott
OT1 00:26 Power play - Lightning shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:49 Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 18:30 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyson Jost saved by Brian Elliott
P3 18:11 Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 17:58 Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:54 Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 16:21 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 16:15 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Brian Elliott
P3 16:14 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Brian Elliott
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 14:35 Goal scored by Steven Stamkos assisted by Alex Killorn and Mikhail Sergachev
P3 14:19 Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Tage Thompson and Alex Tuch
P3 13:51 Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Steven Stamkos
6-5
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Power play - Lightning shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyson Jost saved by Brian Elliott
Shorthanded - Tyson Jost won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Penalty to Owen Power 2 minutes for Delay of Game
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Takeaway by Alex Killorn in neutral zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
5-5
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - Visitor Timeout
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Tyson Jost 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brayden Point)
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
Tyson Jost won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Brian Elliott
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Misconduct
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOAL
Goal scored by Steven Stamkos assisted by Alex Killorn and Mikhail Sergachev
4-5
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Tage Thompson and Alex Tuch
3-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Killorn
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in offensive zone
Tyson Jost won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Tyson Jost won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Takeaway by Ross Colton in offensive zone
SHOT
Henri Jokiharju shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Ross Colton credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Casey Mittelstadt won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Rasmus Dahlin and Mattias Samuelsson
3-4
Giveaway by Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Jack Quinn in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Maroon
Henri Jokiharju credited with hit on Cole Koepke in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Brian Elliott
Vladislav Namestnikov credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
Ian Cole credited with hit on Rasmus Asplund in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Asplund
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Brian Elliott
Ross Colton won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Brian Elliott
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on JJ Peterka in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Brayden Point
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Alex Tuch in defensive zone
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Giveaway by Patrick Maroon in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Killorn
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Mikhail Sergachev
3-3
Shorthanded - Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
Power play - Takeaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Tyson Jost won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Penalty to Mattias Samuelsson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Rasmus Asplund in offensive zone
Henri Jokiharju credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Kyle Okposo in neutral zone
Takeaway by Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
Giveaway by Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Paul
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Brian Elliott
Cole Koepke credited with hit on Casey Fitzgerald in offensive zone
Casey Fitzgerald credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Brian Elliott
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Giveaway by Henri Jokiharju in offensive zone
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone
Takeaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nick Perbix in neutral zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Bogosian
Giveaway by Jeff Skinner in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Asplund
Takeaway by Victor Olofsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ross Colton won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Asplund saved by Brian Elliott
Cal Foote credited with hit on Tyson Jost in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Brian Elliott
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Ian Cole
Ian Cole credited with hit in neutral zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by JJ Peterka and Owen Power
2-2
Tyson Jost won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson
2-1
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Steven Stamkos
2-0
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by Jeff Skinner
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Brian Elliott
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Cal Foote credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Tyson Jost in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Ross Colton credited with hit on Alex Tuch in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Shot missed by JJ Peterka
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Jack Quinn in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Brian Elliott
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Tyson Jost won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Vladislav Namestnikov shot blocked by Casey Fitzgerald
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel
1-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Power play - Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in offensive zone
Penalty to Sabres 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by JJ Peterka)
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Jeff Skinner in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Brian Elliott
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Cole Koepke 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Victor Olofsson)
Ross Colton won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Brian Elliott
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Jack Quinn in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladislav Namestnikov
SHOT
Shot missed by Cal Foote
Vladislav Namestnikov won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ian Cole
Takeaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
SHOT
Tyson Jost shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Giveaway by Jack Quinn in defensive zone
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 4/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 25 | Hits | 8 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 3 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 4/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 25 | Hits | 8 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 3 |
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Lightning vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Sabres
- Date: Monday, November 28, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -145, Sabres +128
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 58%
- Sabres: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 58%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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