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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Lightning NHL game on March 1, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Mar 2, 12AM Amalie Arena
Mar 2, 12AM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Lightning | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Lightning | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
P3 19:29 Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:28 Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 15:55 Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:51 Dylan Gambrell shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 13:57 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
P3 12:53 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 10:42 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
P3 10:21 Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Matt Murray
P3 09:40 Jan Rutta shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
P3 09:02 Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev assisted by Brayden Point
P3 07:31 Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:05 Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:57 Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:25 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
P3 05:35 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:54 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Patrick Maroon)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Colin White in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Penalty to Alex Killorn 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Adam Gaudette)
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Artem Zub
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Corey Perry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
SHOT
Dylan Gambrell shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stoppage - TV timeout
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
Penalty to Lightning 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Alex Formenton)
Penalty to Alex Formenton 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Alex Formenton)
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Alex Formenton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Josh Brown credited with hit on Jan Rutta in defensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Andrej Sustr credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Corey Perry in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Matt Murray
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Josh Brown in offensive zone
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Josh Brown in offensive zone
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Jan Rutta shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev assisted by Brayden Point
2-5
Dylan Gambrell credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Dylan Gambrell credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mathieu Joseph in offensive zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Artem Zub credited with hit on Patrick Maroon in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ross Colton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin White in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor Brown
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Penalty to Steven Stamkos 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
Colin White won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Shorthanded - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Zach Sanford in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Penalty to Alex Killorn 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Adam Gaudette)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Adam Gaudette credited with hit on Alex Killorn in offensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Mathieu Joseph
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Patrick Maroon and Ryan McDonagh
2-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Jan Rutta credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Artem Zub
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Penalty to Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 2 minutes for Holding
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Power play - Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Artem Zub
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Tim Stutzle 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
Jan Rutta credited with hit on Tyler Ennis in defensive zone
SHOT
Tyler Ennis shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Matt Murray
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Power play - Takeaway by Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Brayden Point credited with hit on Austin Watson in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Erik Brannstrom 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Steven Stamkos assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
2-3
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Connor Brown in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Penalty to Josh Brown 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Patrick Maroon) (Served by Adam Gaudette)
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Erik Cernak)
Penalty to Josh Brown 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Patrick Maroon)
Penalty to Patrick Maroon 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Josh Brown)
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Takeaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
Colin White won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Gambrell
Nikita Zaitsev credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
Brayden Point credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Matt Murray
Alex Formenton credited with hit on Jan Rutta in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jan Rutta saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Nick Holden in defensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zaitsev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Tyler Ennis in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Connor Brown in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Matt Murray
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathieu Joseph
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Takeaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Josh Brown
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Dylan Gambrell
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Matt Murray
Shorthanded - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Jan Rutta)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Matt Murray
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Jan Rutta in defensive zone
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point
2-2
Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Nick Holden credited with hit on Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin White in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Matt Murray
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Andrej Sustr in defensive zone
Brayden Point credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Tyler Ennis in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Erik Cernak in neutral zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Zach Sanford in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Holden
Brayden Point credited with hit on Artem Zub in defensive zone
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Alex Formenton in defensive zone
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Corey Perry)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Austin Watson in defensive zone
Takeaway by Austin Watson in defensive zone
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Matt Murray
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
2-1
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
Zach Sanford credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Colin White in defensive zone
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Giveaway by Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Colin White won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in offensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
Corey Perry credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Austin Watson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Matt Murray
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zach Sanford
2-0
Colin White credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Raddysh
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Andrej Sustr shot blocked by Parker Kelly
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Andrej Sustr in defensive zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tyler Ennis
1-0
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Zaitsev
Takeaway by Connor Brown in offensive zone
Zach Sanford credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Zach Sanford credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
Colin White won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Colin White won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 26 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 26 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 5 | |||
| 4 | Giveaways | 3 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 26 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 26 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 5 | |||
| 4 | Giveaways | 3 |
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Senators vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, March 1, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Senators +330, Lightning -400
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 28%
- Lightning: 72%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 28%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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