Queretaro vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 2, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Queretaro

Oct 2, 5PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)

Toluca

Oct 2, 5PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TolucaTOL

Score Summary

QueretaroQUT

L. Fernandez (pen.) (29')

F. Navarro (45')

C. Sanvezzo (pen.) (57')

C. Sanvezzo (77')

A. Rodriguez (83')

A. Nahuelpan (63')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

TOL

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

QUT

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for Toluca: E. Gomez replaces F. Navarro

86'

D. Barbona (Queretaro) cautioned

83'

Substitution for Toluca: D. Alvarez replaces C. Sanvezzo

83'

A. Rodriguez (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card

77'

Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by C. Gonzalez

1-4

76'

Substitution for Queretaro: D. Barbona replaces L. Sequeira

76'

Substitution for Queretaro: K. Escamilla replaces M. Osuna

74'

A. Rodriguez (Toluca) cautioned

73'

Substitution for Toluca: J. Sierra replaces L. Fernandez

73'

Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces J. Meneses

73'

Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces C. Baeza

66'

Substitution for Queretaro: E. Ayon replaces A. Sepulveda

65'

Substitution for Queretaro: J. Maduena replaces O. I. Mendoza Martin

63'

Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Nahuelpan, assisted by P. Barrera

1-3

58'

Substitution for Queretaro: C. Aboagye replaces R. Lopez

57'

Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo (pen.)

0-3

45'

Goal scored for Toluca by F. Navarro, assisted by L. Fernandez

0-2

45'

M. Osuna (Queretaro) cautioned

36'

Penalty missed by A. Sepulveda for Queretaro

29'

Goal scored for Toluca by L. Fernandez (pen.)

0-1

26'

O. I. Mendoza Martin (Queretaro) cautioned

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Queretaro vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Queretaro vs. Toluca
Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Queretaro +240, Toluca +101, Draw +290
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-169/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Queretaro: 25.1%
Toluca: 52.7%
Draw: 22.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Queretaro 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 52.7%, while Queretaro has a win probability of 25.1%. The chance of a draw is 22.2%.

Summary

Our Queretaro vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.