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Newcastle vs. Southampton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Southampton Premier League game on April 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Southampton
1
3
Apr 30, 1PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Apr 30, 1PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
SouthamptonSOT
C. Wilson (55')
T. Walcott (o.g.) (79')
C. Wilson (81')
S. Armstrong (41')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SOT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Anderson replaces A. Isak
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Ritchie replaces J. Willock
82'
Yellow Card
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
81'
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson
1-3
79'
Goal scored for Newcastle by T. Walcott (o.g.)
1-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: C. Adams replaces C. Alcaraz
74'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
72'
Yellow Card
R. Lavia (Southampton) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
S. Armstrong (Southampton) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: M. Elyounoussi replaces S. Armstrong
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: A. Armstrong replaces K. Sulemana
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: A. Maitland-Niles replaces Lyanco
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Almiron replaces J. Murphy
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: T. Walcott replaces M. Djenepo
56'
Yellow Card
K. Walker-Peters (Southampton) cautioned
55'
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson, assisted by A. Isak
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Gordon
41'
Goal scored for Southampton by S. Armstrong, assisted by K. Sulemana
1-0
4'
Yellow Card
J. Bednarek (Southampton) cautioned

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Newcastle vs. Southampton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Southampton
  • Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Newcastle -400, Southampton +1300, Draw +550
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-178/+146)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Newcastle: 70.5%
  • Southampton: 11.2%
  • Draw: 18.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 2-0 Southampton, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 70.5%, while Southampton has a win probability of 11.2%. The chance of a draw is 18.2%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Southampton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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