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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on April 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
0
1
Apr 30, 1PM Old Trafford (Manchester)
Manchester United
Apr 30, 1PM Old Trafford (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
B. Fernandes (39')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Malacia (Manchester Utd) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
Fred (Manchester Utd) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: H. Maguire replaces M. Sabitzer
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Martial replaces M. Rashford
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces E. Buendia
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: Fred replaces C. Eriksen
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: Antony replaces J. Sancho
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces A. Moreno
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Chambers replaces A. Young
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: B. Traore replaces L. Dendoncker
39'
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes
0-1

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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester United -140, Aston Villa +380, Draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-177/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester United: 59.1%
  • Aston Villa: 19.4%
  • Draw: 21.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester United 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester United a win probability of 59.1%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 19.4%. The chance of a draw is 21.5%.

Summary

Our Manchester United vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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