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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on October 22, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
3
Oct 22, 7PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Oct 22, 7PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
T. Partey (23')
P. Aubameyang (45')
E. Smith Rowe (56')
J. Ramsey (82')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces P. Aubameyang
84'
Yellow Card
D. Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
82'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. Ramsey, assisted by L. Bailey
1-3
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. El-Ghazi replaces D. Ings
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: A. Maitland-Niles replaces A. Lokonga
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Odegaard replaces A. Lacazette
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces E. Buendia
66'
Yellow Card
P. Aubameyang (Arsenal) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
M. Targett (Aston Villa) cautioned
56'
Goal scored for Arsenal by E. Smith Rowe, assisted by P. Aubameyang
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces A. Tuanzebe
45'
Yellow Card
A. Lokonga (Arsenal) cautioned
45'
Penalty missed by P. Aubameyang for Arsenal
45'
Goal scored for Arsenal by P. Aubameyang
0-2
32'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
23'
Goal scored for Arsenal by T. Partey, assisted by E. Smith Rowe
0-1
2'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Friday, October 22, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Arsenal -105, Aston Villa +310, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-122/+102)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Arsenal: 50.5%
  • Aston Villa: 25.1%
  • Draw: 24.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Arsenal 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Arsenal a win probability of 50.5%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 25.1%. The chance of a draw is 24.4%.

Summary

Our Arsenal vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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