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Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Brighton Premier League game on November 20, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
0
2
Nov 20, 3PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Nov 20, 3PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
O. Watkins (84')
T. Mings (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Mac Allister (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Konsa (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: A. Mac Allister replaces P. Gross
88'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by T. Mings
0-2
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. El-Ghazi replaces J. Ramsey
84'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by A. Young
0-1
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: N. Maupay replaces T. Lamptey
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Young replaces E. Buendia
67'
Yellow Card
A. Webster (Brighton) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces D. Ings
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: S. March replaces M. Cucurella
59'
Yellow Card
M. Nakamba (Aston Villa) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Brighton) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Brighton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +155, Brighton +215, Draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+108/-127)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 44.1%
  • Brighton: 30.1%
  • Draw: 25.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 44.1%, while Brighton has a win probability of 30.1%. The chance of a draw is 25.7%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Brighton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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