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Southampton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on November 5, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
0
1
Nov 5, 8PM St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
Southampton
Nov 5, 8PM St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SouthamptonSOT
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
A. Armstrong (3')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SOT
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Salisu (Southampton) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: A. Broja replaces A. Armstrong
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: K. Davis replaces A. El-Ghazi
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: I. Diallo replaces M. Elyounoussi
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Archer replaces E. Buendia
65'
Yellow Card
A. Tuanzebe (Aston Villa) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces M. Nakamba
62'
Yellow Card
O. Romeu (Southampton) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Lyanco replaces S. Armstrong
11'
Yellow Card
A. El-Ghazi (Aston Villa) cautioned
3'
Goal scored for Southampton by A. Armstrong
0-1

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Southampton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southampton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Friday, November 5, 2021
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Southampton +107, Aston Villa +265, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Southampton: 38.7%
  • Aston Villa: 36.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 38.7%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 36.7%. The chance of a draw is 24.6%.

Summary

Our Southampton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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