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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Premier League game on April 21, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
1
Apr 21, 7:15PM Villa Park
Apr 21, 7:15PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
McGinn (1')
Cash (57')
Foden (22')
Rodri (40')
Stones (44')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
Aston Villa FC will need to be alert as they defend a dangerous free kick from Manchester City FC.
Peter Bankes signals a throw-in for Manchester City FC, close to Aston Villa FC's area.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Fernandinho is replacing Riyad Mahrez for the away team.
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
Peter Bankes signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Manchester City FC's half.
Manchester City FC are pushing forward but Bernardo Silva's finish is wide of the goal.
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Manchester City FC territory.
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Manchester City FC.
Manchester City FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester City FC's half?
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
Free kick Manchester City FC.
Manchester City FC's Ilkay Gundogan misses with an attempt on goal.
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
The home team have replaced Bertrand Traore with Anwar El Ghazi. This is the third substitution made today by Dean Smith.
Free kick for Manchester City FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
Throw-in high up the field for Manchester City FC in Birmingham.
Peter Bankes blows against Aston Villa FC's Bertrand Traore for offside.
Aston Villa FC's Keinan Davis attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.
It's a goal kick for the away team in Birmingham.
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
Olexandr Zinchenko for Manchester City FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
Peter Bankes awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
Aston Villa FC make their second substitution with Ross Barkley replacing Marvelous Nakamba.
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
In Birmingham Manchester City FC's Olexandr Zinchenko is caught offside.
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
Manchester City FC's Phil Foden breaks free at Villa Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
At Villa Park, Matty Cash has been booked for the second time in this match. An early shower is now waiting!
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
At Villa Park, Matty Cash has been yellow-carded for the home team.
Free kick for Manchester City FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
Manchester City FC have a goal kick.
Douglas Luiz gets his shot on target but fails to score for Aston Villa FC.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Ball goes out of play for a Manchester City FC goal kick.
Aymeric Laporte is on a sub for Gabriel Jesus for Manchester City FC.
The home team replace Jacob Ramsey with Keinan Davis.
The first-half is over at Villa Park.
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
Ilkay Gundogan for Manchester City FC has been booked by Peter Bankes and receives a first yellow card.
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester City FC's half?
Goal kick for Manchester City FC at Villa Park.
Aston Villa FC surge into the attack at Villa Park but Douglas Luiz’s header is off-target.
John Stones (Manchester City FC) sees red and is sent off in Birmingham!
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
Ball safe as Manchester City FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
Manchester City FC's Rodri scores with his head to give his side a 1-2 lead.
2-1
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Manchester City FC just outside Aston Villa FC's area.
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
Throw-in for Manchester City FC at Villa Park.
Manchester City FC's Bernardo Silva is whistled for offside at Villa Park.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Emilano Martinez is back on his feet again.
Emilano Martinez is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
It's a goal kick for the away team in Birmingham.
Aston Villa FC's Jacob Ramsey gets his shot away but it misses the target.
Peter Bankes awards Manchester City FC a goal kick.
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in their own half.
Phil Foden of Manchester City FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
Peter Bankes signals a Manchester City FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.
Phil Foden is on target to level the scores at 1-1.
1-1
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
Manchester City FC's Riyad Mahrez is on target but unsuccessful.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Peter Bankes signals a Manchester City FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
Can Manchester City FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the away team.
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
John McGinn is on target to give Aston Villa FC a 1-0 advantage.
0-1
Today's referee, Peter Bankes, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
| MATCH STATS | |
|---|
| 12 | Shots | 8 | |||
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 | |||
| 73% | Possession % | 27% | |||
| 6 | Fouls | 13 | |||
| 1 | Yellow Cards | 1 | |||
| 1 | Red Cards | 1 | |||
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| |
|---|
| 12 | Shots | 8 | |||
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 | |||
| 73% | Possession % | 27% | |||
| 6 | Fouls | 13 | |||
| 1 | Yellow Cards | 1 | |||
| 1 | Red Cards | 1 | |||
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City
- Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021
- Time: 3:15 PM ET
- Venue: Villa Park
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +900, Manchester City -294, Draw +440
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-133/+105)
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Aston Villa: 17.1%
- Manchester City: 61.1%
- Draw: 21.8%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 0-2 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 17.1%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 61.1%. The chance of a draw is 21.8%.
Summary
Our Aston Villa vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.
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