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Houston vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. San Jose at the MLS on July 17, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Houston
1
0
Jul 18, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Jul 18, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
D. Steres (86')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces A. Bassi
90'
Yellow Card
H. Herrera (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: W. Richmond replaces A. Pellegrino
88'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Thompson replaces C. Gruezo
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by D. Steres
1-0
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces J. Ebobisse
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Blessing replaces A. Carrasquilla
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces S. Ferreira
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Gaines replaces I. Aliyu
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Steres replaces G. Dorsey
68'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces H. Lopez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Morales replaces J. Yueill
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Beason replaces D. Munie
15'
Yellow Card
A. Bassi (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, July 17, 2024
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +115, San Jose +205, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-177/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 47.0%
  • San Jose: 29.8%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 47.0% probability, while San Jose sits at 29.8%, with the draw at 23.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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