Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction: Close Contest Projected in Updated Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [7/28/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction: Close Contest Projected in Updated Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [7/28/2024]

The Boston Red Sox will take on the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Fenway Park on Sunday, starting at 7:10PM ET.

Tanner Houck (8-6, 2.71 ERA) will be on the bump for the Red Sox, pitting him against Carlos Rodón (10-7, 4.42 ERA) for the Yankees.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Yankees as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Yankees-Red Sox game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Yankees with a win probability of 51%, while the Red Sox have 49%."

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Yankees at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Red Sox vs. Yankees picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Yankees a 51% chance of beating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:29PM, Jul 28
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Yankees
Win %
51%
49%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Yankees NYY
Win %
51%
49%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Carlos Rodón 10-7, 4.42 ERA
Tanner Houck 8-6, 2.71 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds [7/28/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Yankees Red Sox
Run Line -1.5 (+145) +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline -112 -104
Total o9 (-118) u9 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Yankees vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay updated with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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