World Cup parlay picks: Today's group stage best bets at +417 odds [June 26, 2026]

Leg 1: France ML vs. Norway (-175)

France enter as heavy favorites at a 61.1% win probability. Kylian Mbappe has netted four goals in two matches and is hungry keep pace with Messi as the highest World Cup scorer of all time, while France boast multiple attacking weapons operating above 20% scorer probability.

The key Norway wrinkle is potential rotation, projected lineups leave both Haaland and Odegaard out of the Norway XI, which would dramatically reduce their threat.

France lead Group I on goal difference, meaning a draw is enough to top the group, but with a potentially tougher knockout path as runner-up, expect Deschamps' side to play with purpose and not sit back.

Even the model's most likely non-France-win scenario (and only in the top six), a 1-1 draw at 9.6%, still requires Norway at their best.

Leg 2: Spain vs. Uruguay BTTS: No (-128)

At 57.1% probability with Spain also holding a 41% chance of a clean sheet, this is the shortest probability in the parlay.

Spain have managed clean sheets in both matches so far and have the best rate at doing so in World Cup history (all time). No player on Uruguay even hits a 15% probability to score, with Darwin Nunez coming just shy at 14.8%.

Uruguay's injury situation makes a goal even less likely: they are without Ronald Araujo and Giorgian De Arrascaeta, minimizing their threat up front.

Spain need only a draw to top the group, but after a flat opener against Cape Verde, they are one of just four sides yet to concede a goal at this World Cup and will be motivated to put in a performance that keeps Uruguay quiet.

Leg 3: Belgium vs. New Zealand under 3.5 goals (-118)

At 59.6% probability, this is the strongest number in this match, with the top four most likely correct scores (2-0, 3-0, and 1-0) all landing comfortably under the total, and it's also our best edge of the day with a 5.5% +EV edge against the books.

Belgium have conceded just once in the group, and that an own goal, keeping a clean sheet against Iran.

Belgium had 23 unsuccessful shots in their goalless draw with Iran, who managed a pair of goals through their two matches so far. 

Both teams will be looking for a win to guarantee a spot forward, as a draw might not be enough with 3 points in the standings, so they're both likely to deploy as conservative of an attack as possible.

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Why bet this World Cup 2026 parlay on Friday

By building a three-leg World Cup parlay featuring one bet from each Group on the World Cup schedule, we can utilize the best Dimers Pro predictions in each match, leveraging each high probability pick into one longer odds bet for a bigger payout.