Iraq vs. Senegal Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Iraq vs. Senegal in the World Cup on June 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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WORLD CUP
Iraq
0
5
BMO Field
Senegal
BMO Field
SenegalSEN
Score Summary
IraqIRQ
H. Diarra (4')
Soccer ball icon
I. Sarr (56')
Soccer ball icon
P. Gueye (59')
Soccer ball icon
P. Gueye (71')
Soccer ball icon
I. Ndiaye (82')
Soccer ball icon
R. Sulaka (13')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senegal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Iraq
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Doski (Iraq) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Senegal by I. Ndiaye, assisted by P. Gueye
    0-5
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Senegal: A. Diao replaces I. Sarr
  4. 81'
    Yellow Card
    P. Gueye (Senegal) cautioned
  5. 75'
    Yellow Card
    A. Al Ammari (Iraq) cautioned
  6. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Senegal by P. Gueye, assisted by I. Ndiaye
    0-4
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iraq: K. Yakob replaces Z. Iqbal
  8. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Senegal by P. Gueye, assisted by I. Sarr
    0-3
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iraq: A. Al Reeshawee replaces A. Jasim
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iraq: A. Yousif replaces A. Al Hamadi
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Senegal: P. Ciss replaces A. Seck
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Senegal: P. Gueye replaces H. Diarra
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Senegal: I. Ndiaye replaces I. Mbaye
  14. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Senegal: N. Jackson replaces L. Camara
  15. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Senegal by I. Sarr, assisted by L. Camara
    0-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iraq: J. Hassan replaces A. Basil
  17. 18'
    Yellow Card
    A. Seck (Senegal) cautioned
  18. 16'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iraq: M. Younis replaces A. Qasem
  19. 13'
    Red Card
    R. Sulaka (Iraq) sent off with a straight red card
  20. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Senegal by H. Diarra, assisted by A. Seck
    0-1

Iraq vs. Senegal: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Iraq vs. Senegal prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Iraq vs. Senegal
  • Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Iraq +1300, Senegal -450, draw +600
  • Total (Over/Under): 3.5 goals (+128/-144)
  • Double chance: Iraq or draw +360, Senegal or draw -2500, Iraq or Senegal -900
  • BTTS: Yes +120, No -136
  • Win to nil: Iraq +1650, Senegal -105

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Iraq: 8.6%
  • Senegal: 75.7%
  • Draw: 15.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Iraq 0-2 Senegal (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Iraq vs. Senegal? Prediction & correct score

Senegal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 75.7%.

The most likely correct score is Iraq 0-2 Senegal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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