WNBA Championship Odds and Predictions After First Month: Aces, A'ja Wilson Make a Move

Updated: Jun 25, 2025, 3:50 PM ET | First published: Jun 25, 2025, 3:50 PM ET

Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer

After more than a month of the WNBA season, the Dimers model says these are the best value bets to win the Championship.

WNBA Bets, WNBA Betting, WNBA predictions, WNBA Finals, Aces A'Ja Wilson, Fever, Caitlin Clark — The Aces are off to a slow start this season but can they turn it around in time to take advantage of what DimersBOT says are mispriced championship odds?

The 2025 WNBA season is into its second month and there's been no shortage of highs and lows for the league's 13 teams.

Both Caitlin Clark and Naphessa Collier, the MVP favorites, have battled early injuries. The league's newest team, the Golden State Valkyries, are off to a surprising start and sit in early postseason contention. It's been a fun Rookie of the Year Race between Paige Bueckers and the rest of the field and of course, the season culminates in the first best-of-seven series for the WNBA Finals.

With more than a month in the books, the championship race has evolved and the true top contenders are emerging. After our preseason look at who will win the WNBA Championship, we're now checking in on the latest value.

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2025 WNBA Season Predictions

Our futures bets are just a taste of what we have for WNBA betting resources.

From our daily WNBA Props and Best WNBA Bets, to our player trends, brand-new WNBA Projections Hub, WNBA Parlays and full game predictions, we have got you covered for every game between now and the final buzzer of the 2025 WNBA Finals.

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Best Bets to Win the WNBA Championship

Below, you will find the three teams we've identified with the best odds, based on value, to win the WNBA Championship. These predictions are based on season-long simulations powered by our WNBA predictive model.

1. Las Vegas Aces (+1300 on BetMGM)

Last season: Lost in Semifinals

The Aces have been hampered by injuries to reigning MVP A’ja Wilson, who missed three straight games due to concussion protocol.

Without her, Las Vegas went 2–2, before wining over the Fever in Wilson's first game back. This could even have been an WNBA Finals preview if both teams can correct their trajectory.

Las Vegas sits at 6–7, ranked near the bottom in field goal percentage (.398, 11th) and rebounds (27th), despite Wilson ranking second in points and rebounds in the entire WNBA.

Guard Jackie Young is also a Top 10-ranked scorer, meaning it's not an issue of talent with this team, who are still in a strong position to make the playoffs.

The Betting Value:

Dimers' 19.7% win projection implies +400 fair odds while the current market is offering +1300—a massive difference as that implies just 7.1%. This is one to buy low before the bandwagon forms.

2. Phoenix Mercury (+1600 on DraftKings)

Last season: Eliminated in first round of playoffs

Not the first time we've highlighted value on the Mercury this year and at this rate, it won't be the last.

The Mercury are red-hot at 11–4, riding a five-game win streak. Offseason addition Satou Sabally is delivering 19.3 PPG and 8.1 RPG, and their other addition Alyssa Thomas just recorded five straight double-doubles, flirting with a historic 14/7/9 average. Kahleah Copper has also come alive, after being sidelined for about 4 weeks due to knee surgery recovery.

Phoenix has erased early concerns after losing veteran Diana Tarausi and Brittney Griner by retooling under coach Nate Tibbetts. They've knocked off top teams like the Liberty and Storm and boast a top defense in the league.

The Betting Value:
Dimers gives them a 7.0% chance for +1350 fair odds, yet sportsbooks are pegging them at +1600. That extra value can't be ignored, especially as its down from +1800 preseason.

If Sabally & Thomas carry on dominating and Copper continues to ramp up healthy, Phoenix could very well crash the title party.

3. Indiana Fever (+475 on DraftKings)

Last season: Eliminated in first round of playoffs

The Fever are a top contender by probability, but hold the least value, so we're finishing off with them.

Caitlin Clark returned spectacularly on June 14 from a quad strain, posting 32 points, nine assists, eight boards, and seven threes—including a barrage of three in 38 seconds—to topple the previously unbeaten Liberty

That win sparked a streak, including clinching their spot in the Commissioner's Cup final.

Clark leads the league with 9.3 APG but struggles with turnovers (5.6) and her shooting dipped below 20 points in recent outings, but she's still the engine of this team.

The Fever are 7–7, looking to string together some wins, blending Clark’s playmaking with more young talent like Aliyah Boston and Lexie Hull, alongside veteran stability. Their offense can break games open, but Clark's hot-cold cadence needs smoothing for this team to find consistency.

The Betting Value:
Dimers projects 19.6% for about the same +400 fair odds as the Aces. Unless the Fever struggle dramatically or face another injury, they should find themselves in playoff contention and the mere presence of Caitlin Clark won't allow this price to get much longer than this.

Don't Miss A Single Bet this WNBA Season

As far as what else you can look forward to all WNBA season long on Dimers, we'll let our proven results do the talking.

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Dimers' 2025 WNBA Betting Resources

WNBA Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every game, every day
WNBA Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every individual matchup
Best WNBA Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
WNBA Futures Odds: Who will win the 2025 WNBA Finals?
WNBA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

Responsible Gambling

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.

Written by

Dave Garofolo

Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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