Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Fire vs. Mystics play [7/16/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, July 16, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for July 16, 2026 are here, with Fire vs. Mystics and Liberty vs. Wings among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to find real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [7/16, updated 2:04AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 16, 2026.
Mystics ML (-190)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 74.2%
- Matchup: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Mystics to defeat Fire at -190 odds. A 74.2% probability produces an edge of 6.4%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Liberty vs. Wings Under 176.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Liberty vs. Wings under 176.5 points carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 55.9% at -105 odds, according to our model.
Fire vs. Mystics Over 162.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 56.4%
- Matchup: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
Fire vs. Mystics Over 162.5 points at -110 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 56.4% probability in simulations.
Mystics -5.5 (-105)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Matchup: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
A 2.4% edge and 53.6% probability makes Mystics -5.5 vs. Fire a value play in the Fire vs. Mystics matchup, per our model.
WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 7/16/2026
As of 2:04AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire vs. Mystics | Mystics ML | -190 @ Caesars | 6.4% | 74.2% |
| Liberty vs. Wings | Under 176.5 points | -105 @ Fanatics | 4.7% | 55.9% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Over 162.5 Points | -110 @ BetMGM | 4.0% | 56.4% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Mystics -5.5 vs. Fire | -105 @ Caesars | 2.4% | 53.6% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [7/16/2026]
- Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for July 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Mystics ML vs. Fire and under 176.5 points in the Liberty vs. Wings matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
