Wizards vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [10/30/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Washington Wizards are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Paycom Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins and Ajay Mitchell, while the Wizards will be led by CJ McCollum, Alex Sarr and Tre Johnson.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wizards vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Wizards and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder an 86% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 122-108.

According to our model, the Wizards (+15.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Wizards vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wizards	Thunder
Spread	+15.5 (-108)	-15.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+775	-1150
Total	o230.5 (-115)	u230.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wizards vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Wizards +15.5	-108
Moneyline	Wizards	+775
Total	Under 230.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +15.5 at the spread.

Wizards vs. Thunder player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Washington vs. Oklahoma City game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

CJ McCollum is expected to lead the Wizards with 17 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 32 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Wizards prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
CJ McCollum	17	4	4	3
Alex Sarr	15	7	3	2
Tre Johnson	13	3	2	2
Khris Middleton	13	5	3	2
Kyshawn George	12	6	3	2

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	32	5	7	2
Aaron Wiggins	16	5	3	3
Ajay Mitchell	13	3	3	1
Isaiah Hartenstein	12	11	3	0
Luguentz Dort	10	5	2	2

Wizards vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Thunder and Wizards at Paycom Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Wizards vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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