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Commanders vs. Giants prediction: Giants favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Washington Commanders vs New York Giants predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New York Giants and Washington Commanders are scheduled to meet in Week 15 of the NFL season at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Giants as the most likely winner of the Commanders vs. Giants game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Commanders vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Commanders-Giants predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Commanders and Giants 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Giants a 57% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Giants winning 24-22.
According to our model, the Commanders (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Commanders vs. Giants odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-105) | -2.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +122 | -135 |
| Total | o46.5 (-105) | u46.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Giants picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Commanders +2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Giants | -135 |
| Total | Over 46.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Commanders +2.5 at the spread.
Commanders vs. Giants TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Commanders vs. Giants?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Chris Rodriguez is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Giants.
Our projections give Rodriguez a 39.0% chance of scoring a TD at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 7.9% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Rodriguez (RB) | 39.0% |
| Terry McLaurin (WR) | 33.2% |
| Deebo Samuel (WR) | 31.3% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) | 29.2% |
| Marcus Mariota (QB) | 23.2% |
New York Giants
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 37.9% |
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 33.6% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 31.2% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 29.5% |
| Theo Johnson (TE) | 26.7% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Rodriguez (RB) | 7.9% |
| Terry McLaurin (WR) | 6.5% |
| Deebo Samuel (WR) | 6.0% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) | 5.6% |
| Marcus Mariota (QB) | 4.2% |
New York Giants
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 8.7% |
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 7.5% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 6.9% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 6.4% |
| Theo Johnson (TE) | 5.7% |
Commanders vs Giants player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Giants. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Marcus Mariota is projected for 212 passing yards. The Giants' Jaxson Dart is expected to throw for 217 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota (WAS) | 212 |
| Jaxson Dart (NYG) | 217 |
Commanders rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Chris Rodriguez | 58 |
| Marcus Mariota | 34 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 24 |
Giants rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 54 |
| Devin Singletary | 43 |
| Jaxson Dart | 29 |
Commanders receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 62 |
| Deebo Samuel | 48 |
| Noah Brown | 29 |
| Ben Sinnott | 16 |
| John Bates | 15 |
Giants receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 64 |
| Theo Johnson | 43 |
| Darius Slayton | 41 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 29 |
| Tyrone Tracy | 18 |
Commanders vs. Giants game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 game between the Giants and Commanders at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Giants, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Giants insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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