Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins updated prediction featuring Chris Rodriguez, De'Von Achane [Week 11, 2025]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders in Week 11, with our model giving the Dolphins a 58% of winning on Sunday.

With kickoff now just days away, both teams have made updates to their official injury reports, while coaching staffs assess injuries and make last-minute adjustments to game-week participation. These updates could influence how each side approaches key matchups in this cross-conference clash.

Building on those developments, we have fresh updates since our early Dolphins-Commanders predictions, delivering recalculated win probabilities, score projections, and TD predictions for Chris Rodriguez, De'Von Achane, and more.

For the most accurate simulation-based insights—including spread and total picks, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Commanders vs. Dolphins page.

What's changed? Washington vs. Miami updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Commanders vs. Dolphins matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Commanders 42%, Dolphins 58%
• Predicted Final Score: Commanders 22-24 Dolphins
• Spread: Commanders (+2.5) 50%, Dolphins (-2.5) 50%
• Total Points (47.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of November 13, 2025, these Commanders-Dolphins figures reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 11 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Commanders-Dolphins on Sunday:

Washington Commanders

• Chris Rodriguez: 34.3% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 34.1% probability
• Zach Ertz: 31.5% probability

Miami Dolphins

• De'Von Achane: 57.7% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 42.5% probability
• Malik Washington: 28.7% probability

Commanders vs. Dolphins latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Commanders +2.5 (-102), Dolphins -2.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Commanders +130, Dolphins -142
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-104/-108)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Commanders vs. Dolphins Week 11 details

The NFL Week 11 action between the Dolphins and Commanders at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium is scheduled for November 16, 2025.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Time: 9:30AM ET/6:30AM PT
• Venue: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

NFL Week 11 betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Commanders vs. Dolphins predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.

Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 11 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Commanders vs. Dolphins matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news and data-driven parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.