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Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins: Experts release early Week 11 predictions [2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get early predictions for the upcoming Commanders vs Dolphins NFL game.

Washington Commanders-Miami Dolphins Early Predictions and Betting Preview.
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins this Sunday.

The Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins will meet in Week 11 of the NFL season at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium on Sunday, November 16, 2025, starting at 9:30AM ET.

Early simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Dolphins as the most likely winner of this cross-conference meeting.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Commanders vs. Dolphins predictions page.

Washington vs. Miami early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Commanders vs. Dolphins game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

  • Straight up win probabilities: Commanders 42%, Dolphins 58%
  • Predicted final score: Commanders 22-24 Dolphins
  • Spread: Commanders (+2.5) 50%, Dolphins (-2.5) 50%
  • Total points (47.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of November 10, 2025, these Commanders-Dolphins numbers and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

 

Commanders vs. Dolphins Week 11 details

The NFL Week 11 action between the Dolphins and Commanders at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium is scheduled for November 16, 2025.

Commanders vs. Dolphins opening odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Week 11 game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Commanders +2.5 (-102), Dolphins -2.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Commanders +128, Dolphins -145
  • Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-104/-108)

Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Early NFL player projections for Week 11 highlight the top candidates to score a TD in Commanders-Dolphins in Week 11:

Washington Commanders

  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 39.1% probability
  • Deebo Samuel: 36.4% probability
  • Zach Ertz: 33.3% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • De'Von Achane: 54.1% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 36.6% probability
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: 32.5% probability

Commanders vs Dolphins player props

Jacory Croskey-Merritt is projected to lead rushing for the Commanders, while De'Von Achane is expected to pace the Dolphins on the ground.

In the receiving game, our projections favor Washington's Deebo Samuel and Miami's Jaylen Waddle as the likely leaders for each team.

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Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 11 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Commanders vs. Dolphins matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news and data-driven parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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