NFL picks straight up: Week 9, 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

The 49ers top the board with an 81% win probability in Week 9.

NFL Week 9 Straight Up Picks.
NFL Week 9 straight up picks based on 10,000 game simulations.

At Dimers, our Week 9 NFL picks are grounded in data-driven insight, with straight-up picks for all 15 games informed by our latest NFL predictions.

Gain the edge in your NFL pick 'em competitions by following our data-driven NFL Week 9 picks straight up, powered by thousands of game simulations.

Week 9 of the NFL season begins with the Jacksonville Jaguars facing the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night and ends with the Buffalo Bills taking on the Minnesota Vikings on Monday.

NFL picks this week straight up: Week 9, 2026

Here are our Week 9 NFL picks highlighting each team's chances of winning their game this week.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Jaguars kick off Week 9 against the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on Thursday night. According to our NFL model, the Jaguars have an 81% chance of winning, while the Ravens have a 19% chance.

For Week 9's opening game, our model highlights NFL player projections, with Bhayshul Tuten (RB) the most likely player from the Jaguars to score the first TD at 11.4%, while Derrick Henry (RB) is the top candidate from the Ravens at 11.4%.

Check out our full Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens prediction ahead of this week's matchup at M&T Bank Stadium, set for Thursday, November 5 at 8:15pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Atlanta Falcons

For this week's game between the Bengals and the Falcons, Cincinnati is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Bengals a 64% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 36% chance that the Falcons will pull off an upset win.

Explore the latest data in this week's Cincinnati Bengals vs. Atlanta Falcons prediction before kickoff in Atlantaon Sunday at 9:30am.

As the regular season approaches its conclusion, track the top teams with our updated NFL futures, highlighting top Super Bowl contenders.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Indianapolis Colts

We are picking the Cowboys to win their game against the Colts this week, with our trusted NFL model projecting a 68% win probability for the road team. The Colts have a 32% chance of winning.

For betting purposes, the Colts are listed as +5.5 underdogs, with the Cowboys' moneyline at -230.

Find the complete Dallas Cowboys vs. Indianapolis Colts prediction for a closer look at Sunday's 1:00pm game.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Washington Commanders

According to our predictive analytics model, the Rams are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 65%. The Commanders, on the other hand, have a 35% chance of winning.

Review the edges and numbers in our Los Angeles Rams vs. Washington Commanders prediction for this Sunday 1:00pm clash at Northwest Stadium.

Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints have a 64% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Browns' 36% chance of victory. This makes the New Orleans Saints our pick to win at Caesars Superdome.

See the numbers behind this matchup in the full Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints prediction scheduled for Sunday at 1:00pm at Caesars Superdome.

New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs are favored to win this game, with our predictive analytics model giving them an 80% chance, while the Jets enter the weekend with a 20% chance of causing an upset at Arrowhead Stadium.

When it comes to betting on this game, the Jets' moneyline odds are set at +425, with the home team Chiefs listed as -10 favorites.

This week's New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs prediction highlights the top values for the game at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, November 8 at 1:00pm.

Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins

After 10,000 simulations of Lions vs. Dolphins this Sunday, our model projects the Lions as the more likely winners with a probability of 73%. Their opponents, the Dolphins, have a 27% chance of getting the win at home.

Compare projections and odds for this matchup in our Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins prediction, set for Sunday at 1:00pm.

Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers

Our model is picking the Broncos, who have a 57% chance of winning the game, while the Panthers have a 43% win probability.

Access the full data breakdown in our Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers prediction ahead of kickoff at Bank of America Stadium.

New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The next game of Week 9 sees the Giants take on the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field.

We predict the Giants to win with a probability of 64%, while the Eagles are projected to have a win chance of 36%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, the Eagles are listed as +3 underdogs, with the Giants' moneyline odds posted at -166.

Breakdown further probabilities and player projections in the New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles prediction for Sunday, November 8 at 1:00pm.

Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The likely winner of this matchup is the Texans, who have a projected win chance of 68%, according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Chargers have a projected win probability of 32%.

Check out our Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers prediction to see where the rest of the numbers lean ahead of Sunday's game in Los Angeles.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. San Francisco 49ers

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Raiders-49ers clash 10,000 times, with the 49ers coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the 49ers won 8,139 times, with the Raiders winning on 1,861 occasions.

Get direct access to more game projections with our Las Vegas Raiders vs. San Francisco 49ers prediction before Sunday's clash at Levi's Stadium

Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots

Next up is the game between the Packers and Patriots, with our model projecting the home team as the more likely victor, with the Patriots rated as having a 62% chance of getting the W. The Packers, on the other hand, are projected to have a 38% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, the oddsmakers have the Packers' moneyline odds set at +140 for this road game, while the hosting Patriots are listed as -3 favorites.

Examine further probabilities in the full Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots prediction, scheduled for Sunday at 4:25pm.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks

Our next straight up pick this week is for the Seahawks to get the win against the Cardinals. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the Seattle have a win probability of 75%, with the Cardinals at 25%.

View the complete Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks prediction for a deeper look at this Sunday's game in Seattle.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears

With a win probability of 72% on Sunday night, our straight up pick for this matchup is the Bears, while their opponent, the Buccaneers, have a projected win chance of 28%.

Check out the latest projections in this week's Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears prediction before kickoff on Sunday, November 8 at 8:20pm.

Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings

The team to pick here is the Bills, who have a 62% chance of winning their matchup against the Vikings this Sunday night.

Looking at the betting odds for this Monday Night Football clash, the Vikings are listed as +3.5 underdogs at home, with the Bills' moneyline odds available at -174.

Find all game probabilities and odds in the full Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings prediction for Monday's matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Full list of NFL Week 9 picks straight up

This week's most likely NFL winners, ordered by probability:

  • 49ers 81.4% vs. Raiders
  • Jaguars 81.0% @ Ravens
  • Chiefs 79.7% vs. Jets
  • Seahawks 74.9% vs. Cardinals
  • Lions 73.0% @ Dolphins
  • Bears 72.1% vs. Buccaneers
  • Texans 68.1% @ Chargers
  • Cowboys 68.1% @ Colts
  • Rams 64.7% @ Commanders
  • Bengals 64.4% @ Falcons
  • Giants 64.0% @ Eagles
  • Saints 63.7% vs. Browns
  • Patriots 61.7% vs. Packers
  • Bills 61.5% @ Vikings
  • Broncos 57.1% @ Panthers

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NFL straight up picks and predictions for Week 9

The NFL Week 9 predictions straight up in this article are accurate at the time of publication but may change.

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions, with our straight up picks trusted by football fans across the country.

If you choose to use our NFL straight up picks for betting, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For more resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities mentioned on this page are subject to change.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Editor

Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.

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