Capitals vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [11/20/2025]

The Montreal Canadiens will face the Washington Capitals, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Bell Centre on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Canadiens a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Capitals.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's Capitals vs. Canadiens matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Caps vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Thursday's clash between the Capitals and Canadiens.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Canadiens a 52% chance of defeating the Capitals.

According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Capitals vs. Canadiens odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Capitals	Canadiens
Puck Line	+1.5 (-215)	-1.5 (+185)
Moneyline	+114	-130
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Capitals vs. Canadiens picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Capitals +1.5	-215
Moneyline	Capitals	+114
Total	Under 6	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals to win.

Capitals vs. Canadiens player props

Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Canadiens?

According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Canadiens.

Our projections give Caufield a 38.5% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tom Wilson	32.3%
Aliaksei Protas	31.5%
Alex Ovechkin	31.5%
Dylan Strome	30.4%
Connor McMichael	21.4%

Montreal Canadiens

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	38.5%
Jared Davidson	33.0%
Ivan Demidov	25.9%
Nick Suzuki	25.2%
Zachary Bolduc	22.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Aliaksei Protas	6.7%
Alex Ovechkin	6.4%
Tom Wilson	6.0%
Dylan Strome	5.7%
Connor McMichael	4.1%

Montreal Canadiens

Player	First Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	7.9%
Jared Davidson	7.1%
Nick Suzuki	4.8%
Ivan Demidov	4.8%
Zachary Bolduc	4.4%

Caps vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Canadiens and Capitals at Bell Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens
• Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Bell Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Canadiens, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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