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Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Canadiens NHL game on November 20, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
8
4
Nov 21, 12AM Bell Centre
Nov 21, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Canadiens | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Canadiens | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
P3 19:52 Shot on goal by Dylan McIlrath saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 19:42 Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 19:37 Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 19:29 Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:56 Shot on goal by Charlie Lindgren saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:34 Goal scored by Sonny Milano assisted by Ethen Frank and Hendrix Lapierre
P3 17:56 Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
P3 17:50 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 17:22 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 16:23 Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P3 16:01 Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
P3 15:05 Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 14:52 Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 14:49 Jayden Struble shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 14:48 Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:18 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Tom Wilson
P3 12:06 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:16 Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 11:11 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 10:36 Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan McIlrath saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Jayden Struble in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Charlie Lindgren
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Charlie Lindgren
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charlie Lindgren saved by Jakub Dobes
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Sonny Milano assisted by Ethen Frank and Hendrix Lapierre
8-4
Dylan McIlrath credited with hit on Jared Davidson in defensive zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
7-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
Matt Roy credited with hit on Jared Davidson in defensive zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
6-4
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Josh Anderson
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Tom Wilson
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Aliaksei Protas credited with hit on Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Charlie Lindgren
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mike Matheson assisted by Cole Caufield and Lane Hutson
5-4
Giveaway by Tom Wilson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Joshua Roy
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Ethen Frank shot blocked by Joe Veleno
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
Takeaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Matt Roy credited with hit on Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Giveaway by Jake Evans in defensive zone
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by teammate
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Matt Roy
Takeaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Sonny Milano assisted by Ethen Frank and Rasmus Sandin
5-3
Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Sonny Milano
SHOT
Jared Davidson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot missed by Jared Davidson
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Dylan McIlrath
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Noah Dobson in neutral zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Suzuki assisted by Alexandre Carrier and Zachary Bolduc
4-3
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun assisted by John Carlson
4-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Jake Evans won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Dylan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Joshua Roy
Joe Veleno credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Joe Veleno
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Matt Roy
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in neutral zone
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Jakub Dobes
Joshua Roy credited with hit on Matt Roy in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Jakub Dobes
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Joe Veleno assisted by Mike Matheson and Brendan Gallagher
3-2
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Jakub Dobes
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joe Veleno saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Joe Veleno
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ethen Frank
3-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Ethen Frank assisted by Alex Ovechkin and Dylan Strome
2-1
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Samuel Montembeault
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Samuel Montembeault
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Penalty to Alex Ovechkin 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Cross Checking
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Power play - Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Samuel Montembeault
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Penalty to Joshua Roy 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Dylan Strome)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jake Evans won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Tom Wilson won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Zachary Bolduc won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Connor McMichael
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage
Penalty to Jakob Chychrun 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Zachary Bolduc)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
Tom Wilson won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Dylan McIlrath in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Brendan Gallagher in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ethen Frank)
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Charlie Lindgren
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Jayden Struble in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joshua Roy saved by Charlie Lindgren
Josh Anderson won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jared Davidson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Samuel Montembeault
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Evans won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin assisted by Dylan Strome
1-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Juraj Slafkovský 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Aliaksei Protas)
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
Ivan Demidov credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in neutral zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 36 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 55% | |||
| 4/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 36 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 55% | |||
| 4/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Capitals vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Canadiens
- Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +114, Canadiens -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 48%
- Canadiens: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 48%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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