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Capitals vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Edmonton Oilers and Washington Capitals will meet in the NHL at Rogers Place on Saturday, with puck drop at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 59% chance of defeating the Capitals.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Capitals vs. Oilers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+142) |
| Moneyline | +145 | -170 |
| Total | o6.5 (-122) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | +145 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Oilers.
Our projections give McDavid a 47.9% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 10.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 31.3% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 30.4% |
| Dylan Strome | 28.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 24.7% |
| Ryan Leonard | 22.6% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 47.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 46.4% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 26.5% |
| Jack Roslovic | 24.5% |
| Evan Bouchard | 21.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.7% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 5.4% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.2% |
| Tom Wilson | 4.6% |
| Ryan Leonard | 4.2% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 10.0% |
| Zach Hyman | 9.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 5.3% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.0% |
| Evan Bouchard | 4.0% |
Caps vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Oilers and Capitals at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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