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Capitals vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Oilers NHL game on January 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
6
Jan 25, 3AM Rogers Place
Jan 25, 3AM Rogers Place
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Oilers | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Oilers | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
OT1 00:46 Goal scored by Connor McDavid
OT1 00:25 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 19:32 Goal scored by Zach Hyman
P3 19:19 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:31 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P3 18:27 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 15:20 Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 15:03 John Carlson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 13:54 Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:08 Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:32 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 09:26 Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
P3 08:58 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 08:31 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 08:22 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:35 Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:40 Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Jakob Chychrun
P3 06:05 Shorthanded - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 03:28 Shot missed by Isaac Howard
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor McDavid
5-6
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
End of 3rd Period.
Curtis Lazar credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zach Hyman
5-5
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nic Dowd
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
Vasily Podkolzin won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Charlie Lindgren
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Jakob Chychrun
4-3
SHOT
Shorthanded - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
Giveaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Matt Savoie in offensive zone
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Takeaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
Giveaway by Tristan Jarry in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Isaac Howard
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Charlie Lindgren
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Tristan Jarry
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Connor Ingram
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Connor Ingram
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Connor Ingram
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Zach Hyman shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Connor Ingram
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Leon Draisaitl
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Ty Emberson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot missed by Trent Frederic
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Capitals won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
SHOT
Trent Frederic shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on Ethen Frank in defensive zone
Curtis Lazar credited with hit on Connor McMichael in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Penalty to Vasily Podkolzin 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Martin Fehervary)
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
SHOT
Spencer Stastney shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Giveaway by Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Ty Emberson
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 8 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 21 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 8 | Hits | 11 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 21 |
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Capitals vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Oilers
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rogers Place
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): Not Available
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +158, Oilers -175
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 41%
- Oilers: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 41%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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