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Capitals vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Dallas Stars and Washington Capitals will meet in the NHL at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Stars game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Stars prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 53% chance of defeating the Capitals.
According to our model, the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Capitals vs. Stars odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +108 | -125 |
| Total | o5.5 (-118) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Capitals | +108 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Stars?
According to our model, Mikko Rantanen is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Stars.
Our projections give Rantanen a 41.5% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is an 8.8% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 33.7% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 31.3% |
| Tom Wilson | 29.4% |
| Ryan Leonard | 22.4% |
| Connor McMichael | 21.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 41.5% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 40.1% |
| Jason Robertson | 38.3% |
| Tyler Seguin | 30.5% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 21.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.0% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 6.1% |
| Tom Wilson | 5.3% |
| Connor McMichael | 4.1% |
| Ryan Leonard | 3.9% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 9.2% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.8% |
| Jason Robertson | 7.8% |
| Tyler Seguin | 5.8% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 3.7% |
Caps vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Stars and Capitals at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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