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Capitals vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Stars NHL game on October 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Capitals
0
1
Oct 29, 12:30AM American Airlines Center
Stars
Oct 29, 12:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Capitals
0000
Stars
0101
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CapitalsWSH
Win %
0%
100%
StarsDAL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
0000
Stars
0101
P3 19:53 Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 19:15 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 19:09 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 18:59 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 18:33 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 18:24 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 16:10 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 15:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 15:56 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:16 Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 14:45 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:00 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 11:49 Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 09:57 Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 08:53 Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:48 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:42 Shot on goal by Nathan Bastian saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:26 Logan Thompson shot blocked by Jake Oettinger
P3 07:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Logan Thompson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 19:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 19:12
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P3 19:12
Stoppage - Icing - Visitor Timeout
P3 19:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 18:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 18:33
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 18:24
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 18:10
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P3 18:10
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P3 17:19
Sam Steel won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
P3 17:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 16:10
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 15:58
Shorthanded - Sam Steel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P3 15:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 15:56
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:17
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P3 15:16
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 14:56
Penalty to Lian Bichsel 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Aliaksei Protas)
P3 14:56
Capitals won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
P3 14:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 14:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 14:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 12:43
Takeaway by Thomas Harley in neutral zone
P3 11:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 10:55
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 10:55
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 09:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 09:22
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P3 09:22
Stoppage - Offside
P3 08:57
Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 08:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:50
Sam Steel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 08:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:43
Sam Steel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 08:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan Bastian saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:26
SHOT
Logan Thompson shot blocked by Jake Oettinger
P3 08:12
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P3 08:12
Stoppage - Offside
P3 07:28
Shorthanded - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
P3 07:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 07:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:49
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
P3 06:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 06:48
SHOT
Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 06:35
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 06:35
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 06:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 05:48
SHOT
Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P3 05:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 05:29
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 05:29
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mikko Rantanen)
P3 05:15
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Tyler Seguin
P3 04:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Steel
P3 03:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P3 03:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 03:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
P3 02:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 01:33
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 01:33
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:00
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 01:00
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 00:55
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 00:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 00:53
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 00:00
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
P2 19:09
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P2 19:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 18:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 18:35
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P2 17:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P2 16:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
P2 15:45
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P2 15:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P2 14:05
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P2 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 13:07
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P2 13:07
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 12:22
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
P2 12:21
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P2 12:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 11:48
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P2 11:48
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 11:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
P2 10:21
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
P2 10:11
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
P2 10:11
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 10:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Capobianco
P2 09:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P2 09:22
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Adam Erne
P2 09:21
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Adam Erne in offensive zone
P2 09:21
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 09:19
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P2 08:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 08:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 08:32
Sam Steel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P2 08:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 08:09
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 08:09
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:42
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P2 07:40
Sam Steel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P2 07:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 07:38
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P2 07:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Chisholm saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 06:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 05:43
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:33
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
P2 04:33
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:27
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
P2 04:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P2 03:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P2 03:48
SHOT
Nic Dowd shot blocked by Jason Robertson
P2 03:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Logan Thompson
P2 03:24
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P2 03:24
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 01:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jake Oettinger
P2 01:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Carlson
P2 01:20
Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P2 01:20
Penalty to Sam Steel 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 00:52
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P2 00:52
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 00:43
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
P2 00:43
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tyler Seguin
0-1
P2 00:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Logan Thompson
P2 00:20
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 00:20
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Radek Faksa)
P2 00:08
Giveaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Logan Thompson
P1 19:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Logan Thompson
P1 19:36
SHOT
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by teammate
P1 19:33
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Declan Chisholm
P1 18:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 17:40
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
P1 17:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P1 17:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Logan Thompson
P1 16:41
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P1 16:41
Penalty to Aliaksei Protas 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 16:08
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P1 16:08
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 15:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Logan Thompson
P1 13:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
P1 13:55
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 13:55
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Interference
P1 13:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 13:24
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 13:21
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
P1 13:21
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:00
SHOT
Ethen Frank shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P1 12:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Logan Thompson
P1 12:30
Sam Steel won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
P1 12:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 12:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 12:27
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P1 12:27
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Steel
P1 10:39
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Stars
P1 10:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 09:52
Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 09:19
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P1 09:19
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P1 09:12
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Sam Steel
P1 09:10
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P1 09:10
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 09:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 09:06
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P1 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 07:38
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 07:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 04:55
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 04:51
Takeaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 04:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Logan Thompson
P1 04:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 03:57
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
P1 03:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Logan Thompson
P1 03:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 03:10
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
P1 03:05
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P1 03:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
P1 03:01
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P1 03:01
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 02:12
Giveaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
P1 01:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Logan Thompson
P1 01:43
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
P1 01:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P1 00:00
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
 STATS
Stars
24Shots on Goal19
45%Faceoff Win %55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits30
14Shots Blocked19
15Giveaways10
CapitalsWSH
StarsDAL
24Shots on Goal19
45%Faceoff Win %55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits30
14Shots Blocked19
15Giveaways10

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Capitals vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Stars
  • Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +108, Stars -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 47%
  • Stars: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 47%, while the Stars have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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