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Capitals vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [1/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Washington Capitals vs Colorado Avalanche predictions for NHL Monday.
The Colorado Avalanche and Washington Capitals are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Ball Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Avalanche game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Avalanche 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 64% chance of defeating the Capitals.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Capitals vs. Avalanche odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-135) | -1.5 (+122) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -196 |
| Total | o6.5 (-114) | u6.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Avalanche picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals +1.5 | -135 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | +170 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Avalanche player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give MacKinnon a 39.8% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 28.9% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 28.0% |
| Dylan Strome | 24.3% |
| Ethen Frank | 22.1% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 21.6% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 39.8% |
| Brock Nelson | 34.9% |
| Martin Necas | 32.8% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 29.7% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 29.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 5.6% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 4.8% |
| Dylan Strome | 4.1% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 3.9% |
| Ethen Frank | 3.9% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 8.8% |
| Brock Nelson | 6.8% |
| Martin Necas | 6.7% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 5.7% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.6% |
Caps vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Avalanche and Capitals at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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