Capitals vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Avalanche NHL game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
2
5
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 1 0 2
Avalanche
1 2 2 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    0%
  • Avalanche
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 1 0 2
Avalanche
1 2 2 5
P3 19:51 Power play - Sam Malinski shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 18:46 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Connor McMichael
P3 16:49 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 16:43 Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
P3 14:45 Brent Burns shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 14:41 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:58 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 13:19 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ross Colton
P3 12:54 Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
P3 12:08 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:05 Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas
P3 10:55 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 09:20 Dylan Strome shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 08:41 Sam Malinski shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:32 Shot missed by Ross Colton
P3 08:26 Shot missed by Martin Necas
P3 08:10 Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
P3 07:48 Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:42 Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 06:36 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Sam Malinski shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  3. P3 19:42
    Power play - Ivan Ivan won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  4. P3 18:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  5. P3 18:46
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  6. P3 18:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  7. P3 16:55
    John Carlson credited with hit on Jack Drury in offensive zone
  8. P3 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  9. P3 16:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  10. P3 16:30
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  11. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
  12. P3 14:43
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  13. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
  14. P3 13:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  15. P3 13:19
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ross Colton
  16. P3 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
  17. P3 12:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  18. P3 12:32
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
  19. P3 12:11
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Charlie Lindgren
  21. P3 11:32
    Parker Kelly credited with hit on Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  22. P3 11:05
    Capitals won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  23. P3 11:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas
    2-4
  24. P3 10:58
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  25. P3 10:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
  26. P3 09:20
    SHOT
    Dylan Strome shot blocked by Cale Makar
  27. P3 09:16
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  28. P3 09:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  29. P3 08:58
    Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
  30. P3 08:45
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:41
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ross Colton
  33. P3 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Necas
  34. P3 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
  35. P3 07:49
    Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
  36. P3 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
  37. P3 07:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
  38. P3 06:46
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  39. P3 06:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
  40. P3 05:59
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Carlson in offensive zone
  41. P3 05:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Charlie Lindgren
  42. P3 05:28
    Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Martin Necas in offensive zone
  43. P3 05:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Charlie Lindgren
  44. P3 05:01
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  45. P3 05:01
    Penalty to Anthony Beauvillier 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Martin Necas)
  46. P3 04:26
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  47. P3 03:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  48. P3 02:33
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Josh Manson
  49. P3 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  52. P2 19:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Scott Wedgewood
  53. P2 19:26
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  54. P2 19:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P2 18:58
    Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  56. P2 18:54
    SHOT
    Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by teammate
  57. P2 18:44
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  58. P2 18:38
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  59. P2 18:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  60. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  61. P2 18:10
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  62. P2 17:42
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  63. P2 17:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  64. P2 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Chisholm
  65. P2 16:34
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  66. P2 16:24
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  67. P2 16:15
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  68. P2 16:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  69. P2 15:58
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  70. P2 15:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Victor Olofsson assisted by Josh Manson
    1-3
  71. P2 15:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  72. P2 15:10
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  73. P2 15:10
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  74. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Matt Roy
  75. P2 14:34
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  76. P2 13:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  77. P2 12:25
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
  78. P2 12:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Martin Necas
  79. P2 12:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
  80. P2 12:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  81. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  82. P2 11:39
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  83. P2 11:05
    Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  84. P2 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Scott Wedgewood
  85. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Scott Wedgewood
  86. P2 09:22
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Gavin Brindley in neutral zone
  87. P2 09:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  88. P2 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
  89. P2 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Scott Wedgewood
  90. P2 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avalanche saved by Charlie Lindgren
  91. P2 08:50
    Penalty to Samuel Girard 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Ivan Miroshnichenko)
  92. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  93. P2 08:39
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  94. P2 08:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
  95. P2 08:08
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  96. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
  97. P2 07:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
  98. P2 07:03
    Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  99. P2 06:32
    Shorthanded - Matt Roy credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  100. P2 06:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ross Colton
  101. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Charlie Lindgren
  102. P2 04:23
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  103. P2 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
  104. P2 03:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  105. P2 03:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ross Colton
  106. P2 03:43
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  107. P2 03:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  108. P2 03:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  109. P2 02:52
    Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  110. P2 02:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  111. P2 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  112. P2 02:13
    SHOT
    Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Samuel Girard
  113. P2 01:27
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  114. P2 01:01
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  115. P2 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Charlie Lindgren
  116. P2 00:24
    Takeaway by Cale Makar in offensive zone
  117. P2 00:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  118. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  119. P1 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  120. P1 19:34
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  121. P1 19:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  122. P1 17:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  123. P1 17:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Scott Wedgewood
  124. P1 16:48
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  125. P1 16:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  126. P1 16:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Scott Wedgewood
  127. P1 16:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Cale Makar
  128. P1 15:42
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  129. P1 15:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 15:01
    Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  131. P1 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Charlie Lindgren
  132. P1 14:54
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Matt Roy
  133. P1 14:32
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  134. P1 14:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  135. P1 13:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  136. P1 13:34
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
  137. P1 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gavin Brindley
  138. P1 13:01
    SHOT
    Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by teammate
  139. P1 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
  140. P1 12:33
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  141. P1 12:22
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  142. P1 12:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  143. P1 11:54
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  144. P1 11:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P1 11:46
    Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  146. P1 11:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 11:18
    Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  148. P1 11:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  149. P1 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Scott Wedgewood
  150. P1 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Charlie Lindgren
  151. P1 10:04
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  152. P1 09:13
    SHOT
    Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by John Carlson
  153. P1 08:56
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  154. P1 08:43
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Ivan Ivan in neutral zone
  155. P1 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
  156. P1 08:04
    Matt Roy credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in offensive zone
  157. P1 07:35
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  158. P1 07:27
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  159. P1 07:25
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun
    1-1
  160. P1 06:56
    Power play - Ryan Leonard won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  161. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  162. P1 06:46
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  163. P1 06:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  164. P1 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  165. P1 05:54
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  166. P1 05:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Charlie Lindgren
  167. P1 04:57
    SHOT
    Declan Chisholm shot blocked by Sam Malinski
  168. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Scott Wedgewood
  169. P1 04:15
    Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  170. P1 04:05
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  171. P1 03:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  172. P1 03:27
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
  173. P1 01:49
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  174. P1 01:49
    Penalty to Ilya Solovyov 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
  175. P1 00:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
  176. P1 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
  177. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Avalanche
24Shots on Goal44
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
14Penalty Infraction Mins10
14Hits14
24 Shots Blocked 9
14Giveaways15
CapitalsWSH
AvalancheCOL
24Shots on Goal44
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
14Penalty Infraction Mins10
14Hits14
24 Shots Blocked 9
14Giveaways15

Capitals vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +205, Avalanche -210

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 35%
  • Avalanche: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 35%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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