Ducks vs. Oilers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

The Edmonton Oilers are favored to beat the Anaheim Ducks at Rogers Place on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Ducks vs. Oilers prediction gives Edmonton a 61.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Ducks as the underdog.

Ducks vs. Oilers key predictions

• Oilers win probability: 61.8%
• Ducks win probability: 38.1%
• Ducks +1.5 puck line: 59.4% cover probability
• Under 7 goals: 51.9% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Ducks vs. Oilers odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Ducks moneyline: 36¢ (Novig)
• Oilers moneyline: 64¢ (Novig)
• Ducks +1.5: 59¢ (Novig)
• Oilers -1.5: 43¢ (Novig)
• Over 7 goals: +108 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 7 goals: -134 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Ducks vs. Oilers pick: Ducks moneyline (36¢)

Our model makes the Oilers the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Ducks moneyline at 36¢ on Novig.

Those odds give the Ducks an implied win probability of 36.5%, while our model puts it at 38.1%.

That's a 1.7% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this game.

Ducks vs. Oilers goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Leon Draisaitl of the Oilers leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 48.4%, ahead of teammate Connor McDavid (44.5%). Anaheim's most likely goal-scorer, Cutter Gauthier, is further back at 41.2%. Draisaitl also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 9.9%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 48.4%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 44.5%
3. Cutter Gauthier (Ducks): 41.2%
4. Tristan Luneau (Ducks): 32.7%
5. Leo Carlsson (Ducks): 28.9%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): 9.9%
2. Connor McDavid (Oilers): 8.9%
3. Cutter Gauthier (Ducks): 8.5%
4. Tristan Luneau (Ducks): 6.0%
5. Leo Carlsson (Ducks): 5.2%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Ducks vs. Oilers prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Ducks vs. Oilers predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Ducks vs. Oilers game details

• Matchup: Anaheim Ducks vs. Edmonton Oilers
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Puck drop: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Rogers Place

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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