Ducks vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Ducks vs. Oilers in the NHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Ducks
5
4
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
TEAM123T
Ducks
1 3 1 5
Oilers
1 1 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Ducks
    100%
  • Oilers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Ducks
1 3 1 5
Oilers
1 1 2 4
P3 19:57 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jackson LaCombe
P3 19:46 Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 19:34 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
P3 19:12 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:11 Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 17:42 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
P3 17:31 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
P3 16:59 Connor McDavid shot blocked by Noah Warren
P3 15:29 Jason Dickinson shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
P3 11:44 Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
P3 11:42 Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 10:43 Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
P3 10:05 Shot missed by Owen Michaels
P3 08:54 Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 07:33 Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 07:32 Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
P3 05:58 Shot on goal by Roger McQueen saved by Matt Tomkins
P3 05:45 Tristan Luneau shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
P3 05:10 Shot on goal by Shakir Mukhamadullin saved by Laurent Brossoit
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:57
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jackson LaCombe
  3. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  4. P3 19:36
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
  6. P3 19:15
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  7. P3 19:15
    Stoppage - Home Timeout
  8. P3 19:12
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by teammate
  9. P3 18:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  10. P3 17:42
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
  11. P3 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
  12. P3 17:07
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  13. P3 16:59
    SHOT
    Connor McDavid shot blocked by Noah Warren
  14. P3 16:24
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Colton Dach in neutral zone
  15. P3 15:33
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:33
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  17. P3 15:29
    SHOT
    Jason Dickinson shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
  18. P3 15:27
    Ducks won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  19. P3 13:54
    Giveaway by Jackson LaCombe in defensive zone
  20. P3 13:09
    Takeaway by Drew Helleson in defensive zone
  21. P3 13:03
    Tim Washe credited with hit on Connor Murphy in offensive zone
  22. P3 12:33
    Jeff Malott credited with hit on Shakir Mukhamadullin in offensive zone
  23. P3 12:13
    Noah Warren credited with hit on Jason Dickinson in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
  25. P3 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Matt Tomkins
  26. P3 10:46
    Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on Judd Caulfield in defensive zone
  27. P3 10:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
  28. P3 10:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  29. P3 10:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Michaels
  30. P3 09:22
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Roger McQueen in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Matt Tomkins
  32. P3 07:39
    Shorthanded - Tim Washe won faceoff against Owen Michaels in defensive zone
  33. P3 07:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  34. P3 07:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
  35. P3 06:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
  36. P3 06:24
    Shorthanded - Tim Washe won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  37. P3 06:24
    Penalty to Noah Warren 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Evan Bouchard)
  38. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Roger McQueen saved by Matt Tomkins
  39. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Tristan Luneau shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
  40. P3 05:35
    Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
  41. P3 05:14
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
  42. P3 05:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shakir Mukhamadullin saved by Laurent Brossoit
  43. P3 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
  44. P3 03:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Warren saved by Matt Tomkins
  45. P3 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Matt Tomkins
  46. P3 03:37
    Ducks won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  47. P3 03:37
    Stoppage
  48. P3 02:44
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Roger McQueen in defensive zone
  49. P3 02:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  50. P3 02:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  51. P3 01:51
    SHOT
    Shakir Mukhamadullin shot blocked by Sam Colangelo
  52. P3 01:42
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in neutral zone
  53. P3 01:42
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Beckett Sennecke assisted by Leo Carlsson and Cutter Gauthier
    5-2
  54. P3 01:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by teammate
  55. P3 01:10
    Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Owen Michaels in offensive zone
  56. P3 00:38
    Giveaway by Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
  57. P3 00:25
    Alex Killorn credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
  58. P3 00:00
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  59. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  60. P2 19:22
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  61. P2 19:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Matt Tomkins
  62. P2 19:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  63. P2 18:26
    Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
  64. P2 18:08
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Owen Michaels in neutral zone
  65. P2 17:30
    SHOT
    Travis Mitchell shot blocked by Jake Walman
  66. P2 16:15
    Giveaway by Drew Helleson in defensive zone
  67. P2 16:09
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
  68. P2 16:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P2 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  70. P2 15:15
    Giveaway by Roger McQueen in offensive zone
  71. P2 14:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  72. P2 13:57
    Power play - Giveaway by Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
  73. P2 13:06
    Owen Michaels won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  74. P2 13:02
    Delayed penalty (against the Oilers)
  75. P2 12:55
    SHOT
    Tristan Luneau shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  76. P2 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Nesterenko
  77. P2 12:16
    Drew Helleson credited with hit on Alex Formenton in neutral zone
  78. P2 12:03
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in defensive zone
  79. P2 12:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  80. P2 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Michaels
  81. P2 10:32
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Pavel Mintyukov in defensive zone
  82. P2 09:47
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  83. P2 09:43
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
  84. P2 09:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
  85. P2 09:25
    Giveaway by Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  86. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  87. P2 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Murphy saved by Laurent Brossoit
  88. P2 08:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Laurent Brossoit
  89. P2 08:12
    Giveaway by Connor Murphy in neutral zone
  90. P2 08:01
    Noah Warren credited with hit on Jason Dickinson in neutral zone
  91. P2 07:16
    Roger McQueen won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  92. P2 07:16
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  93. P2 07:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 07:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Washe saved by Matt Tomkins
  95. P2 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  96. P2 06:15
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  97. P2 06:13
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Pavel Mintyukov assisted by Judd Caulfield and Mikael Granlund
    3-2
  98. P2 06:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Judd Caulfield saved by Matt Tomkins
  99. P2 05:40
    Takeaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
  100. P2 05:31
    Stoppage - Offside
  101. P2 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drew Helleson
  102. P2 04:49
    Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Oilers in offensive zone
  103. P2 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
  104. P2 04:46
    Ducks won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  105. P2 04:31
    Ducks won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  106. P2 03:37
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  107. P2 03:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  108. P2 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  109. P2 02:34
    Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
  110. P2 02:31
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Laurent Brossoit
  111. P2 02:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Tristan Luneau shot blocked by Leon Draisaitl
  112. P2 00:50
    Shorthanded - Owen Michaels won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  113. P2 00:50
    Penalty to Filip Hallander 2 minutes for Misconduct
  114. P2 00:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Laurent Brossoit
  115. P2 00:00
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  116. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  117. P1 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nico Myatovic
  118. P1 19:49
    Nico Myatovic credited with hit on Shakir Mukhamadullin in offensive zone
  119. P1 19:41
    Sam Colangelo won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  120. P1 19:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  121. P1 19:33
    Ducks won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  122. P1 19:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Formenton saved by Laurent Brossoit
  123. P1 18:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Walman shot blocked by teammate
  124. P1 17:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Colton Dach
  125. P1 16:53
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
  126. P1 16:52
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  127. P1 16:52
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
  128. P1 16:52
    Penalty to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Pavel Mintyukov)
  129. P1 16:33
    Jeff Malott credited with hit on Jake Walman in offensive zone
  130. P1 16:28
    Owen Michaels won faceoff against Roger McQueen in neutral zone
  131. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Laurent Brossoit
  132. P1 15:51
    Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  133. P1 15:46
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Tristan Luneau
  134. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Roger McQueen
  135. P1 15:00
    Roger McQueen won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  136. P1 14:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Matt Tomkins
  137. P1 14:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Matt Tomkins
  138. P1 14:41
    Power play - Giveaway by Beckett Sennecke in offensive zone
  139. P1 14:28
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  140. P1 14:27
    Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  141. P1 14:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Matt Tomkins
  142. P1 14:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  143. P1 13:21
    Shorthanded - Owen Michaels won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  144. P1 13:21
    Penalty to Max Jones 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Sam Colangelo)
  145. P1 13:21
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  146. P1 13:12
    SHOT
    Sam Colangelo shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  147. P1 12:32
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Jason Dickinson in neutral zone
  148. P1 12:15
    Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  149. P1 12:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 11:08
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Owen Michaels in offensive zone
  151. P1 11:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Owen Michaels saved by Laurent Brossoit
  152. P1 11:03
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Owen Michaels in defensive zone
  153. P1 10:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Judd Caulfield saved by Matt Tomkins
  154. P1 09:52
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
  155. P1 09:26
    Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Roger McQueen in neutral zone
  156. P1 09:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  157. P1 08:06
    Owen Michaels won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  158. P1 08:06
    Penalty to Drew Helleson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  159. P1 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Laurent Brossoit
  160. P1 07:33
    Judd Caulfield credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
  161. P1 07:22
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
  162. P1 07:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  163. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by teammate
  164. P1 06:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  165. P1 05:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Matt Tomkins
  166. P1 04:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Laurent Brossoit
  167. P1 03:58
    Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  168. P1 03:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  169. P1 03:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Matt Tomkins
  170. P1 03:50
    Shorthanded - Owen Michaels won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
  171. P1 03:50
    Penalty to Evan Bouchard 2 minutes for Misconduct
  172. P1 03:45
    Delayed penalty (against the Oilers)
  173. P1 03:36
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
  174. P1 03:18
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Colton Dach in defensive zone
  175. P1 03:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  176. P1 01:17
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  177. P1 01:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  178. P1 00:54
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Drew Helleson
  179. P1 00:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Laurent Brossoit
  180. P1 00:00
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
Stats
Ducks
STATS
Oilers
21Shots on Goal27
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
8/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
21Penalty Infraction Mins46
23Hits12
14 Shots Blocked 9
14Giveaways20
DucksANA
OilersEDM
21Shots on Goal27
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
8/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
21Penalty Infraction Mins46
23Hits12
14 Shots Blocked 9
14Giveaways20

Ducks vs. Oilers prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Anaheim Ducks vs. Edmonton Oilers
  • Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
  • Puck drop: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Ducks (+1.5, -138), Oilers (-1.5, +133)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-141/+138)
  • Moneyline: Ducks +178, Oilers -182

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Ducks: 37.9%
  • Oilers: 62.0%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Ducks vs. Oilers player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Cutter Gauthier, Ducks: 39.4%
  • Tristan Luneau, Ducks: 32.9%
  • Leon Draisaitl, Oilers: 47.4%
  • Connor McDavid, Oilers: 43.4%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Ducks a win probability of 37.9%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 62.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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