Blackhawks vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Blackhawks
- Lightning
- Roman Kantserov35.6%
- Connor Bedard34.3%
- Tyler Bertuzzi27.2%
- Frank Nazar
- Teuvo Teravainen
- Brandon Hagel42.4%
- Jake Guentzel42.3%
- Nikita Kucherov40.4%
- Brayden Point
- Anthony Cirelli
Blackhawks vs. Lightning prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Blackhawks (+1.5, +146), Lightning (-1.5, -156)
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+104/-108)
- Moneyline: Blackhawks +350, Lightning -365
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Blackhawks: 26.8%
- Lightning: 73.1%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Blackhawks vs. Lightning player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Connor Bedard, Blackhawks: 34.1%
- Roman Kantserov, Blackhawks: 33.9%
- Jake Guentzel, Lightning: 44.4%
- Brandon Hagel, Lightning: 41.9%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blackhawks a win probability of 26.8%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 73.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blackhawks in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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