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Capitals vs. Sabres prediction: Buffalo favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [11/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the Washington Capitals square off with the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Sabres as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Sabres game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Sabres prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Sabres 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Sabres a 52% chance of beating the Capitals.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Capitals vs. Sabres odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+198) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -122 |
| Total | o6.5 (-104) | u6.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Sabres picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals +1.5 | -220 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | +110 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Sabres player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Sabres?
According to our model, Tage Thompson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Sabres.
Our projections give Thompson a 41.6% chance of scoring a goal at KeyBank Center, while the star is a 7.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 36.8% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 36.5% |
| Tom Wilson | 34.3% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 25.3% |
| Connor McMichael | 25.0% |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 41.6% |
| Alex Tuch | 33.8% |
| Ryan McLeod | 22.6% |
| Jason Zucker | 21.8% |
| Jiri Kulich | 21.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 7.3% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 7.0% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 4.7% |
| Connor McMichael | 4.6% |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 7.9% |
| Alex Tuch | 6.8% |
| Jiri Kulich | 4.0% |
| Ryan McLeod | 4.0% |
| Jason Zucker | 3.9% |
Caps vs. Sabres game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Sabres and Capitals at KeyBank Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: KeyBank Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Sabres, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Sabres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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