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Capitals vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Sabres NHL game on November 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Nov 1, 11PM KeyBank Center
Nov 1, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Sabres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Sabres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
OT1 04:57 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Charlie Lindgren
OT1 04:43 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
OT1 03:33 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
OT1 03:15 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
OT1 03:05 Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
OT1 02:26 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
OT1 02:15 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Tage Thompson
OT1 02:02 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Tage Thompson
OT1 01:31 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:31 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 19:31 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 18:46 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 17:46 Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by Tage Thompson
P3 17:42 Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 16:39 Josh Doan shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 16:06 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Michael Kesselring
P3 15:45 Jack Quinn shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 12:26 Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P3 12:16 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:53 Conor Timmins shot blocked by Matt Roy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt missed by Ryan Leonard
Shootout Goal scored by Bowen Byram on Charlie Lindgren
Shootout attempt missed by Capitals
Shootout attempt by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shootout attempt missed by Connor McMichael
Shootout attempt missed by Sabres
Shootout attempt by Sabres saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shootout attempt by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shootout attempt missed by Tage Thompson
Shootout attempt by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shootout attempt by Jack Quinn saved by Charlie Lindgren
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Visitor Timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by Tage Thompson
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Brandon Duhaime)
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Michael Kesselring
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Giveaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Alex Tuch in neutral zone
Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Matt Roy
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tom Wilson)
Takeaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Owen Power
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bowen Byram
Power play - Giveaway by Isak Rosen in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Josh Doan
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Isak Rosen
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Declan Chisholm 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Josh Dunne)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Giveaway by Charlie Lindgren in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
Alex Ovechkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Bowen Byram)
Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ryan Leonard)
GOAL
Goal scored by Sonny Milano
3-3
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Charlie Lindgren
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Chisholm saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Jiri Kulich
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Hooking
Giveaway by Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Charlie Lindgren
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Jason Zucker shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Power play - John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Dunne saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Jiri Kulich shot blocked by Matt Roy
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Declan Chisholm shot blocked by Isak Rosen
SHOT
Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Shot missed by Jiri Kulich
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Isak Rosen
2-3
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jiri Kulich saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Jiri Kulich
SHOT
Isak Rosen shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
SHOT
Capitals shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Alex Tuch in neutral zone
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Tuch
2-2
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Isak Rosen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Penalty to Jordan Greenway 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Isak Rosen saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Isak Rosen
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Sonny Milano
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson
2-1
Stoppage
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas
2-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Charlie Lindgren
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Anthony Beauvillier and Ryan Leonard
1-0
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 24 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 25 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 17 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 24 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 25 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 17 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Capitals vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Sabres
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +110, Sabres -122
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 48%
- Sabres: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 48%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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