NHL player props today: Monday's best props include Kirill Kaprizov [10/12/2026]

Kirill Kaprizov anytime goal scorer (+135)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Wild's Kirill Kaprizov scoring a goal. A probability of 48.0% gives this play an edge of 5.4% at +135 odds.

Tage Thompson anytime goal scorer (+150)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 44.1%
• Game: Panthers vs. Sabres (1:00PM ET)

Tage Thompson’s anytime goal scorer prop shows a 44.1% probability and an 4.1% edge at +150 odds, according to our model.

Matt Boldy anytime goal scorer (+150)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 41.3%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Matt Boldy anytime goal scorer, with simulations showing a 41.3% probability and a 1.3% edge at +150.

Sam Reinhart anytime goal scorer (+180)

• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 37.6%
• Game: Panthers vs. Sabres (1:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Sam Reinhart to score a goal, with a 37.6% probability and an edge of 1.9% at +180 odds.

Tim Stutzle anytime goal scorer (+220)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 37.1%
• Game: Senators vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Tim Stutzle as an anytime goal scorer for Senators, showing an edge of 5.8% at +220 odds.

Mark Stone anytime goal scorer (+220)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 33.5%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Mark Stone’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 2.3% at +220 odds, supported by a 33.5% probability according to our model.

Drake Batherson anytime goal scorer (+230)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 33.4%
• Game: Senators vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Drake Batherson anytime goal scorer for Senators, with a 33.4% probability and a 3.1% edge at +230 odds.

Josh Doan anytime goal scorer (+300)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 27.5%
• Game: Panthers vs. Sabres (1:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Josh Doan anytime goal scorer, supported by a 27.5% probability at +300 odds and an edge of 2.5%.

Anthony Mantha anytime goal scorer (+330)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 27.0%
• Game: Senators vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

A 3.7% edge on the anytime goal line makes Anthony Mantha a value play in Senators vs. Devils, supported by a 27.0% probability at +330 odds.

Trevor Connelly anytime goal scorer (+400)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 26.1%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Trevor Connelly anytime goal scorer here, with a 26.1% probability and 6.1% edge at +400 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Monday, October 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:31AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 12, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Kirill Kaprizov, Tage Thompson and Matt Boldy. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.