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Villareal vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Villareal vs Alaves predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Villareal will take on Alaves in La Liga action at Estadio de la Ceramica on Saturday, commencing at 10:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Villareal as the most likely winner of the Villareal vs. Alaves game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Villareal vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Villareal and Alaves 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 61.1% chance of Villareal winning, a 16.8% chance for Alaves, and a 22.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Villareal vs. Alaves odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Villareal | Alaves | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -200 | +650 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -105 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Villareal vs. Alaves picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alaves | +650 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -105 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.
Villareal vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Villareal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VIL 1-0 ALV | 12.2% |
| VIL 2-0 ALV | 11.4% |
| VIL 1-1 ALV | 10.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.7% chance that both teams scoring, and a 51.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Villareal vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga action between Villareal and Alaves at Estadio de la Ceramica is scheduled to start in the United States at 10:15 AM ET.
- Who: Villareal vs. Alaves
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
- Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Villareal has a 61.1% win probability on Saturday, Alaves has a 16.8% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Villareal vs. Alaves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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